In the last of a three-game series between the San Francisco Giants (39-34) and the San Diego Padres (39-34) at AT&T Park, Chris Heston (7-5, 3.83 ERA) and James Shields (7-1, 3.75 ERA) take the mound. The Giants won the last game 6-0 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 3:45 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jun. 25 and will air on FSN-SD and NBC Bay Area.
In his most recent outing, Heston pitched 5.2 innings, allowing three runs and striking out one in a 9-5 victory over the Dodgers. Buster Posey (.287, 34 Rs, 11 HRs, 45 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and four RBIs. In his pitching opportunities against the Giants, Shields is 2-0 with a 0.56 ERA. He gets a strong San Francisco offense that's batting .266. Justin Upton (.273, 42 Rs, 13 HRs, 43 RBIs, 15 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Padres, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one stolen base.
San Francisco is a small -115 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Giants are 16-21 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +57. They have struggled as the favorite over their last 10 games, going 0-4. San Francisco has averaged 3.4 runs per game during divisional play, lower than its season average of 4.0.
Across the field, the Padres have a record of 16-23 when they are the underdog and are -262 overall with the money line. Against divisional opponents, they are 19-18 SU and 9-13 as the underdog. During the last 10 games, they averaged 3.0 runs per game, below their 4.2 season average. Playing against NL West foes really brings the best out of the San Diego pitchers. They allow 3.7 runs per game against teams within their division, which is lower than their season average of 4.5.
The Padres have mostly come out on top against the Giants in their previous nine games this season, earning a 5-4 record. This game will feature Shields (RHP) on the mound against the Giants, who have a 28-28 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Padres will be the right-hander Heston. They sport a 26-31 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
The Padres are an even 19-19 against the division, while the Giants sit at 19-21.
When leading after 7 innings, San Diego is 20-16, while San Francisco is 11-9.
The Giants are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Padres have a 17-26 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Giants are 3-21. The Padres have a 6-30 record when opponents outhit them.
San Francisco and San Diego both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. San Francisco sits at 24th with 57 home runs this season and San Diego ranks 21st with 60.
Ranking 12th, San Diego is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.36 per game. San Francisco ranks in the top five at second with 9.23.
Ranking 26th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.667). San Francisco ranks in the top half at 12th with an OPS of .724.
The Padres are 19-28 when they allow at least one home run. The Giants perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 19-21 record.