Wei-Yin Chen (3-4, 2.89 ERA) and Corey Kluber (3-9, 3.65 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (38-34) and the Cleveland Indians (33-38) at Camden Yards. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 26 and can be seen on STO and MASN2.
Chen pitched 8.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs, striking out nine and walking one in a 4-0 win over the Phillies. Jimmy Paredes (.311, 30 Rs, 8 HRs, 34 RBIs, 3 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4. Kluber is 1-1 with a 3.26 ERA against the Orioles in his career. He takes on a good Baltimore offense that's batting .262. Jason Kipnis (.354, 49 Rs, 5 HRs, 31 RBIs, 10 SBs) went 1 for 3 Wednesday with two runs.
Cleveland takes on Baltimore as a -133 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Orioles have an overall money line of +276 and a record as the underdog of 15-20. The Orioles have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 6.2 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.6 runs per game. The Orioles have no trouble scoring as they rank third in the AL in offense with 4.6 runs per game.
In games where it is the favorite, Cleveland has a 22-27 record and an overall money line of -1,407. Offensively, the Indians have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.1 runs per game by averaging 3.0 during that stretch. Cleveland is excellent at drawing walks with an AL-best 3.7 per game. The Indians have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 9.3 strikeouts per game.
The Orioles lead the season series, 2-1. The Orioles have a 28-28 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Kluber takes the mound. Chen (LHP) will be on the hill against the Indians, who have an 11-17 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Over
Cleveland has won 48% (11-12) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Baltimore has won 62% (18-11) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Orioles are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Indians have a 1-3 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they are outhit, the Indians are 6-29. The Orioles have a 5-22 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 23rd in home runs, Cleveland has hit 58 this season. Baltimore ranks fifth with 86 home runs.
Baltimore and Cleveland both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Baltimore sits at seventh with 8.70 hits per game and Cleveland ranks eighth with 8.49.
Ranking 16th, Cleveland is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.718). Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .742.
When the Indians allow at least one home run, they are 22-30, well-matched with the Orioles who are 21-23 when allowing at least one homer.