Kyle Lohse (3-9, 6.30 ERA) and Trevor May (4-5, 4.03 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (27-47) and the Minnesota Twins (39-33) at Miller Park. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 26 and can be seen on FSN-N and FSN-WI.
Lohse pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering three runs, striking out five and walking one in a 5-1 defeat to the Rockies. Adam Lind (.285, 26 Rs, 10 HRs, 36 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. May went 6.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out seven and walking two in a 4-1 defeat to the Cubs in his last outing. Brian Dozier (.261, 56 Rs, 14 HRs, 36 RBIs, 6 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Twins, going 2 for 4 Wednesday with one run and one RBI.
Milwaukee is a -122 favorite against Minnesota and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Brewers have recorded an overall money line of -1,754 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 8-16. Milwaukee is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 3-7 SU record in its last ten outings.
In games where it is the underdog, Minnesota has a 32-26 record and an overall money line of +1,316. Minnesota is 6-3 as the underdog and 6-6 SU against interleague opponents. Offensively, the Twins have really sputtered in interleague games. They have decreased their season average of 4.2 runs per game by averaging 3.2 in those contests. When it comes to issuing walks, the Twins have the fewest in the AL with only 2.4 walks allowed per game.
The Brewers lead the season series, 2-1. The Brewers have a bad 19-38 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when May takes the mound. Lohse (RHP) will be on the hill against the Twins, who have a 21-23 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIN, O/U - Over
Milwaukee has won 42% (13-18) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Minnesota has won 42% (11-15) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Brewers are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Twins have a 6-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 6-39. The Twins have a 7-30 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 25th in home runs, Minnesota has hit 56 this season. Milwaukee ranks 17th with 63 home runs.
Ranking 14th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.04 per game. Minnesota ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 8.33.
Ranking 27th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.665). Minnesota ranks in the bottom half at 20th with an OPS of .690.
When the Twins allow at least one home run, they are 22-24. When the Brewers allow one or more homers, they have a 17-31 record.