In the second of a four-game series between the Houston Astros (43-32) and the New York Yankees (43-32) at Minute Maid Park, Vincent Velasquez (0-0, 4.15 ERA) and Nathan Eovaldi (6-2, 4.95 ERA) get the ball. The Astros won the last game 4-0 and Houston leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 26 and will air on YES and ROOT-SW.
In his most recent outing, Velasquez pitched 3.1 innings, giving up one run, striking out five and walking four in a 6-2 loss to the Mariners. Jose Altuve (.292, 33 Rs, 5 HRs, 29 RBIs, 20 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 3 for 4 with three runs and two stolen bases. In his pitching opportunities against the Astros, Eovaldi is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA, three strikeouts and four walks. Brett Gardner (.292, 55 Rs, 9 HRs, 38 RBIs, 15 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with two runs and one RBI.
Houston is a slight -113 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Astros have a 19-17 record and overall money line at +792. The most recent 10-game stretch for the Astros has gone great. Over that span, Houston is averaging 5.8 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.5. The Astros come into the game with the fifth-ranked scoring offense in the AL, averaging 4.5 runs per game. The Astros are a dangerous hitting team with 245 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking third in all of baseball with 59 steals. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Astros lead the league in WHIP at 1.18.
Moving on to the away team, the Yankees come into this game with a win percentage of .500 when playing as the underdog (16-16) and an overall money line of -130. Over the last 10 games, they were winless as the underdog with a 0-1 record and 5-5 SU. New York has been playing better lately, averaging 6.3 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.9. New York is one of the top home-run-hitting teams in the league with 98 home runs. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the New York pitchers. They allowed 6.0 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 4.5. They also have some of the most overpowering arms in the AL with an average of 8.4 strikeouts per game.
So far this season, the Astros are 1-0 against the Yankees. This game will feature Eovaldi (RHP) on the mound against the Astros, who have a 26-16 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Velasquez will take the mound against the Yankees, who have a 29-26 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Over
After last game's shutout win against the New York Yankees, the Astros now have six shutouts this season. The Yankees have been shut out in three games this season.
When leading after 7 innings, Houston is 17-12, while New York is 18-21.
The Astros are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Yankees have a 7-5 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Yankees are 6-26. The Astros have a 9-22 record when opponents outhit them.
Houston ranks at the top of the league when it comes to home runs with 107 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 98.
Ranking 13th, Houston is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.09 per game. New York ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.04.
Ranking seventh, Houston is in the top 10 of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.734). New York ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .760.
The Yankees are 19-27 when they allow at least one home run. The Astros perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 15-22 record.