Noah Syndergaard (2-4, 4.03 ERA) and Johnny Cueto (4-4, 2.98 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the New York Mets (37-37) and the Cincinnati Reds (34-37) at Citi Field. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 26 and can be seen on FSN-OH and SNY.
Syndergaard pitched 4.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering three runs (one unearned), striking out three and walking two in a 6-4 defeat to the Braves. Curtis Granderson (.249, 40 Rs, 11 HRs, 23 RBIs, 4 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 3 for 5. Cueto is 3-3 with a 4.12 ERA when pitching against the Mets. He is up against a below-average New York offense which is hitting just .237 this season. Todd Frazier (.294, 53 Rs, 24 HRs, 52 RBIs, 8 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Reds, going 3 for 6 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs.
New York is a slim -108 favorite at home against Cincinnati. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of seven runs. Though the Mets have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-263), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 31-12. The Mets have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 1.8 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.6 runs per game.
As for their opponent, Cincinnati is coming in with an overall money line of -462 and a disappointing record of 13-26 as the underdog. The Reds can change the game with one swing of the bat, ranking fifth in the league with 86 home runs. The Reds are an excellent base-stealing team with an MLB-best 73 stolen bases. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Reds are fourth in the NL with an average of 8.2 hits allowed per game.
The Mets have a 31-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Cueto takes the mound. Syndergaard (RHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 24-27 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - CIN, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Reds won by a margin of one run. The Mets are 13-12 in one-run games. The Reds have a 10-13 record in close games.
For the 10th time this season, the Reds registered at least two errors in a game.
The Mets are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Reds are 4-5 in such matchups.
The Reds managed to give up six walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Mets who are heading in with a 5-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 26-9. The Mets have a 24-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 27th in runs, New York has earned 265 this season. Cincinnati ranks 19th with 291 runs.
Ranking 20th, New York is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 193 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 224.
When the Mets hit at least one home run, they are 23-14, well-matched with the Reds who are 30-19 when hitting one or more homers.