Charlie Morton (5-1, 3.97 ERA) and Julio Teheran (5-3, 4.67 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Pittsburgh Pirates (41-32) and the Atlanta Braves (35-39) at PNC Park. The Pirates won the last game 3-2 and Pittsburgh leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 4:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 27 and can be seen on FSN-S and ROOT-PIT.
Morton is 1-2 with a 3.32 ERA in his appearances against the Braves, but goes up against a quality Atlanta offense which is batting .256 this season. Andrew McCutchen (.295, 40 Rs, 9 HRs, 44 RBIs, 4 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs and one stolen base. Against the Pirates, Teheran is 2-0 with a 3.29 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and 26 strikeouts.
Pittsburgh is a -170 favorite against Atlanta and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Pirates have recorded an overall money line of +170 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 34-18. The Pirates are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits at home with a phenomenal 8.8 per game. Pittsburgh is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 53 bases.
In games where it is the underdog, Atlanta has a 25-32 record and an overall money line of +308. Offensively, the Braves have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.0 runs per game by averaging 2.6 during that stretch. Atlanta is excellent at not striking out on the road with an NL-low 7.0 per game.
The Pirates lead the season series, 3-1. The Pirates have a 32-27 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Teheran takes the mound. Morton (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 31-33 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Braves lost by a margin of one run. The Pirates are 14-12 in one-run games. The Braves have a 13-12 record in close games.
When the Pirates play into extra innings, they have a 3-7 record. The Braves are 2-5 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Braves managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Pirates who are heading in with a 13-9 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 26-12. The Pirates have a 30-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 22nd, Pittsburgh is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 289 this season. Atlanta ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 298.
Ranking 22nd, Pittsburgh is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 187 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 14th with 220.
When the Pirates hit at least one home run, they are 24-15. When the Braves hit at least one homer, they have a 19-13 record.