In the second of a three-game series between the Tampa Bay Rays (41-34) and the Boston Red Sox (41-34) at Tropicana Field, Matt Andriese (2-2, 3.79 ERA) and Wade Miley (7-6, 4.50 ERA) get the ball. The Red Sox won the last game 4-3 and Boston leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 27 and will air on NESN and SunSports.
In his most recent outing, Andriese pitched 5.1 innings, allowing four runs and striking out two in an 8-5 loss to the Blue Jays. Logan Forsythe (.298, 29 Rs, 8 HRs, 32 RBIs, 7 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 5 with one run. In his career against the Rays, Miley is 3-0 with a 0.47 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and 16 strikeouts. Hanley Ramirez (.283, 41 Rs, 15 HRs, 38 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Red Sox, going 2 for 2 yesterday.
Tampa Bay is favored by a small -107 margin in its matchup against Boston. The matchup currently has a seven-run Over/Under (O/U). The Rays are 20-16 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +799. They have an SU record of 19-16 against teams in their division and an 8-8 record when they were the favorite in those games. The Rays are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with 55 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Rays lead the AL in ERA with a 3.27 team average. The Rays don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking fourth in the league with a 1.20 WHIP.
Switching gears, the Red Sox come into this game with a win percentage of .440 when playing as the underdog (11-14) and an overall money line of -1,796. Against fellow AL East members, they are 11-23 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 4-8 record. Boston has been playing better lately, averaging 5.7 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.1. The Red Sox average 3.4 walks per road game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the AL when they travel. Boston's pitching staff tends to perform poorly when they play division rivals. They've allowed an average of 5.7 runs per game against teams from the AL East, higher than their season average of 4.7.
The Rays have mostly come out on top against the Red Sox in their previous seven games this season, earning a 4-3 record. The Rays will take on a left-hander (Miley) in this game. They have excelled against left-handed starting pitchers this season, going 14-8. The right-handed Andriese will take the mound against the Red Sox, who have a 24-31 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB, O/U - Over
The Red Sox currently sit below .500 against the AL East Division at 12-23, and the Rays have a 19-17 record.
When leading after 7 innings, Tampa Bay is 15-13, while Boston is 15-18.
The Rays managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Red Sox who are coming in with a 12-8 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 6-35. The Rays have a 7-22 record when opponents outhit them.
Tampa Bay and Boston both rank in the top half of the league in home runs. Tampa Bay sits at 14th with 67 home runs this season and Boston ranks 13th with 70.
Ranking 11th, Tampa Bay is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.16 per game. Boston ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.80.
Tampa Bay and Boston both rank in the bottom half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Tampa Bay sits at 19th with an OPS of .694 and Boston ranks 16th with an OPS of .718.
When the Red Sox allow at least one home run, they are 12-33, well-matched with the Rays who are 16-24 when allowing at least one homer.