Andrew Cashner (2-9, 4.35 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (36-40) meet Jeremy Hellickson (5-4, 4.94 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (35-38) in the second of a three-game division series at Petco Park. The Padres won the last game 4-2 and San Diego leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 10:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 27 and will air on FSN-AZ and FSN-SD.
Cashner has a 3.27 ERA and a 3-5 record in his career against the Diamondbacks, but is up against a strong Arizona offense that's hitting .260 on the year. Yonder Alonso (.321, 19 Rs, 2 HRs, 19 RBIs, 2 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. In his career against the Padres, Hellickson is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, and 24 strikeouts. Paul Goldschmidt (.352, 53 Rs, 20 HRs, 62 RBIs, 13 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with two RBIs.
San Diego is a -148 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Padres have a 19-15 record and overall money line at -462. They have a winless record (0-3) in games played as the favorite during their last 10 games. San Diego's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 6.5 during that span, compared to its 4.7 season average. An area where the Padres are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 8.4 K's per game.
On the other side, the Diamondbacks have a record of 23-24 when they are the underdog and are +109 overall with the money line. They have played at the top of their game when rated as the underdog as of late. They managed a 3-1 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 5-5. They sport the second-ranked offense in the NL, averaging 4.5 runs per game. One of the top hitting teams in the NL are the Diamondbacks, who average 9.2 hits per game. The Diamondbacks have racked up 65 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. Playing against NL West foes really brings the best out of the Arizona pitchers. They allow 4.1 runs per game against teams within their division, which is lower than their season average of 4.6.
The Padres have mostly come out on top against the Diamondbacks in their previous 11 games this season, earning a 6-5 record. This game will feature Hellickson (RHP) on the mound against the Padres, who have a 26-33 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Cashner will take the mound against the Diamondbacks, who have a 27-27 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - ARI, O/U - Over
The Padres and the Diamondbacks both hold an even record against their divisional opponents. The Padres are 20-20 and the Diamondbacks are 19-19.
San Diego has won 56% (20-16) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Arizona has won 59% (13-9) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Padres managed to give up six walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Diamondbacks who are coming in with a 3-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 6-31. The Diamondbacks have a 9-25 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 21st in home runs, San Diego has hit 61 this season. Arizona ranks 16th with 65 home runs.
Ranking 11th, San Diego is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.36 per game. Arizona ranks in the top five at second with 9.21.
Ranking 25th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.670). Arizona ranks in the bottom half at 16th with an OPS of .716.
When the Diamondbacks allow at least one home run, they are 16-32. When the Padres allow one or more homers, they have a 19-28 record.