Mike Fiers (3-7, 4.39 ERA) and Tommy Milone (4-1, 3.59 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (28-48) and the Minnesota Twins (40-34) at Miller Park. The Twins won the last game 5-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 28 and can be seen on FSN-N and FSN-WI.
Fiers pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out seven and walking two in a 3-2 defeat to the Mets. Adam Lind (.292, 27 Rs, 10 HRs, 37 RBIs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. When pitching against the Brewers, Milone is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, and four strikeouts. Brian Dozier (.272, 57 Rs, 15 HRs, 37 RBIs, 7 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Twins, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one stolen base.
Milwaukee is a -135 favorite against Minnesota and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Brewers have recorded an overall money line of -1,754 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 9-16. Milwaukee is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 4-6 SU record in its last ten outings. The Brewers have seen an uptick in scoring against teams in the AL, averaging 4.4 runs per game. They average 3.7 runs per game on the season.
In games where it is the underdog, Minnesota has a 32-27 record and an overall money line of +1,216. Minnesota is 6-4 as the underdog and 6-7 SU against National League opponents. Offensively, the Twins have really sputtered in interleague games. They have decreased their season average of 4.2 runs per game by averaging 3.2 in those contests. When it comes to issuing walks, the Twins have the fewest in the AL with only 2.4 walks allowed per game.
The Brewers lead the season series, 3-2. The Brewers have an 8-8 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Milone takes the mound. Fiers (RHP) will be on the hill against the Twins, who have a 21-24 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIL, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Minnesota is 12-15, while Milwaukee is 13-19.
The Brewers managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Twins who are coming in with a 13-2 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 6-39. The Twins have a 7-31 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 21st in home runs, Minnesota has hit 61 this season. Milwaukee ranks 15th with 66 home runs.
Ranking 14th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.04 per game. Minnesota ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 8.33.
Ranking 27th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.667). Minnesota ranks in the bottom half at 20th with an OPS of .692.
The Twins are 22-25 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Brewers are 18-32 when they allow at least one homer.