Zack Greinke (5-2, 1.70 ERA) is on the hill for the Los Angeles Dodgers (42-34) as they square off against Jose Urena (1-3, 4.34 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (31-45) in the last of a three-game series at Marlins Park. The Marlins won the last game 3-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 28 and can be seen on SportsNet LA and FSN-FL.
Urena pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out two and walking three in a 4-3 defeat to the Cardinals. Dee Gordon (.355, 39 Rs, 17 RBIs, 26 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Greinke is 3-0 with a 3.51 ERA when pitching against the Marlins. He takes on a good Miami offense which is hitting .255 this season. Justin Turner (.320, 30 Rs, 11 HRs, 36 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the Dodgers, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Los Angeles takes on Miami as a -168 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Marlins have recorded an overall money line of -1,655 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 15-27. Miami has recorded a disappointing 1-8 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. The Marlins are the third-best team in the NL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 8.2 hits per game to their opponents this season.
In games where it is the favorite, Los Angeles has a 36-30 record and an overall money line of -507. The Dodgers can change the game with one swing of the bat, ranking third in the league with 97 home runs. Los Angeles is excellent at drawing walks with an NL-best 3.6 per game. Los Angeles's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.22 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Dodgers are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.18 for the season. The Dodgers have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 8.7 strikeouts per game.
The Dodgers lead the season series, 3-2. The Marlins have a 22-36 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Greinke takes the mound. Urena (RHP) will be on the hill against the Dodgers, who have a 38-25 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Dodgers lost by a margin of one run. The Marlins are 11-11 in one-run games. The Dodgers have a 10-14 record in close games.
Miami has won 36% (14-25) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Los Angeles has won 54% (15-13) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Marlins are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Dodgers have a 2-3 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 4-29. The Dodgers have a 9-23 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami ranks in the bottom half of the league at 20th when it comes to home runs, hitting 62 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top five at third with 97.
Ranking 11th, Los Angeles is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.40 per game. Miami ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.69.
Ranking 24th, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.683). Los Angeles ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .763.
The Dodgers are 16-23 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Marlins are 14-29 when they allow at least one homer.