Chris Archer (9-4, 2.01 ERA) gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays (42-34) as they meet Justin Masterson (2-2, 6.37 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (33-43) in the last of a three-game series at Tropicana Field. The Rays won the last game 4-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 28 and will air on NESN and SunSports.
Archer is 1-5 with a 5.17 ERA, 47 strikeouts and 27 walks against the Red Sox in his career. Logan Forsythe (.299, 29 Rs, 8 HRs, 32 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. In his career against the Rays, Masterson is 2-8 with a 6.93 ERA, 1.90 WHIP, and 50 strikeouts. Hanley Ramirez (.283, 41 Rs, 15 HRs, 38 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Red Sox, going 2 for 2 yesterday.
Tampa Bay is a -162 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Rays are 20-17 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +687. They have an SU record of 19-17 against teams in their division and an 8-9 record when they were the favorite in those games. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking fourth in all of baseball with 57 steals. As for the pitching staff, the Rays lead the AL in ERA with a 3.27 team average. The Rays don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking fourth in the league with a 1.19 WHIP.
Moving on to the away team, the Red Sox come into this game with a win percentage of .462 when playing as the underdog (12-14) and an overall money line of -1,694. Against fellow AL East members, they are 12-23 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 5-8 record. Boston has been playing better lately, averaging 5.9 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.1. The Red Sox average 3.2 walks per game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the AL. Boston's pitching staff tends to perform poorly when they play division rivals. They've allowed an average of 5.6 runs per game against teams from the AL East, higher than their season average of 4.7.
The Rays have mostly come out on top against the Red Sox in their previous eight games this season, earning a 5-3 record. This game will feature Masterson (RHP) on the mound against the Rays, who have a 27-26 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Red Sox will be the right-hander Archer. They sport a 25-31 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB, O/U - Over
The Red Sox currently sit below .500 against the AL East Division at 12-24, and the Rays have a 20-17 record.
The Red Sox are 3-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Rays are 2-4 in such matchups.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Red Sox are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Rays have a 20-3 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 29-8. The Red Sox have a 27-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 24th, Tampa Bay is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 280 this season. Boston ranks in the top half at 15th with 309.
Ranking 18th, Tampa Bay is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 209 this season. Boston ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 238.
The Rays are 30-17 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Red Sox are 24-25 when they hit at least one homer.