In the second of a two-game series between the New York Mets (38-37) and the Cincinnati Reds (38-37) at Citi Field, Steven Matz (MLB debut) and Josh Smith (0-0, 12.00 ERA) get the ball. The Mets won the last game 2-1 and New York leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 28 and will air on FSN-OH and SNY.
Curtis Granderson (.250, 41 Rs, 12 HRs, 24 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 3 Friday with one run, one home run, one RBI, and one stolen base. The Reds were unsuccessful to the Pirates 7-6 the last time Smith pitched. He went 3.0 innings, giving up four runs, striking out three and walking six. Todd Frazier (.293, 53 Rs, 24 HRs, 52 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 4 Friday.
New York is a -140 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Mets perform well as a favorite with a 31-12 record, but haven't fared as well with the overall money line (-153). The Mets will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In the last 10 games, New York has only averaged 1.6 runs per game compared to the 3.6 they've averaged on the season. Turning to the pitching staff, the Mets don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking fifth in the league with a 1.20 WHIP.
Across the field, the Reds have a subpar record of 14-26 when they are the underdog and are -432 overall with the money line. Cincinnati is a terror on the base paths, with an MLB-best 75 stolen bases. Switching gears to Cincinnati's pitching staff, they average just 8.2 hits allowed per game, third-best in the NL.
So far this season, the Mets are 1-0 against the Reds. The Mets will take on a right-hander (Smith) in this game and have a 32-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Niese will take the mound against the Reds, who have a 9-10 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - CIN, O/U - Over
The Reds lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Mets are 14-12. The Reds are 10-14 in close games this season.
The Mets are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Reds are 4-5 in such matchups.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Reds are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Mets have a 16-3 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 26-10. The Mets have a 24-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 27th in runs, New York has earned 267 this season. Cincinnati ranks 20th with 292 runs.
Ranking 20th, New York is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 196 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top half at 12th with 224.
The Mets are 24-14 when they hit at least one home run. The Reds perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 30-19 record.