In the last of a three-game series between the Oakland Athletics (34-43) and the Kansas City Royals (34-43) at O.C. Coliseum, Jesse Chavez (4-6, 2.90 ERA) and Jeremy Guthrie (5-5, 5.90 ERA) get the ball. The Royals won the last game 3-2 and Kansas City leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 28 and will air on FSN-KC and CSN-CA.
Chavez is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against the Royals in his career, but is up against a solid Kansas City offense that's hitting .274 on the year. Billy Burns (.322, 32 Rs, 2 HRs, 15 RBIs, 15 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run. In his pitching opportunities against the Athletics, Guthrie is 4-5 with a 4.68 ERA. He gets a strong Oakland offense that's batting .258. Kendrys Morales (.292, 36 Rs, 9 HRs, 48 RBIs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 3 yesterday with two RBIs.
Oakland, a -153 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Kansas City. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Athletics have a 22-25 record and overall money line at -1,536. Oakland has averaged 6.1 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.5. Don't expect the Oakland hitters to swing wildly. They average only 6.7 strikeouts per game. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Athletics don't give up many walks to opposing batters at O.C. Coliseum, ranking fourth in the AL with only 2.7 walks allowed per home game.
On the other side, the Royals have a record of 18-13 when they are the underdog and are +1,253 overall with the money line. They have played at the top of their game when rated as the underdog as of late. They managed a 3-1 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 7-3. Opposing pitchers have routinely struggled to strike out the Kansas City batters, who average an AL-low 5.8 strikeouts per game.
In their previous five games this season, the Royals have a 4-1 record. This game will feature Guthrie (RHP) on the mound against the Athletics, who have a 30-29 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Royals will be the right-hander Chavez. Right-handed starters haven't been a big issue for them as they sport a 31-16 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - OAK, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Royals won by a margin of one run. The Athletics are 6-19 in one-run games. The Royals have an 8-6 record in close games.
Oakland has won 38% (14-23) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Kansas City has won 70% (19-8) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Athletics are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Royals have a 27-22 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Royals have a slight leg up on the Athletics, as the Royals have won their last three games while the Athletics have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Athletics are 25-10. The Royals have a 38-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 14th, Kansas City sits in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 311 this season. Oakland ranks in the top five at third with 345.
Ranking 30th, Kansas City is at the bottom of the league in walks, notching 150 this season. Oakland ranks in the top five at fourth with 244.
The Athletics are 22-20 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Royals are 28-12 when they hit at least one homer.