In the last of a four-game series between the Houston Astros (43-34) and the New York Yankees (43-34) at Minute Maid Park, Collin McHugh (8-3, 4.80 ERA) and Michael Pineda (8-4, 4.25 ERA) get the start. The Yankees won the last game 9-6 and New York leads the series 2-1. The game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jun. 28 and will air on YES and ROOT-SW.
In his most recent outing, McHugh pitched 8.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out six and walking one in a 13-3 victory over the Angels. George Springer (.266, 40 Rs, 12 HRs, 27 RBIs, 13 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run and one RBI. In his pitching opportunities against the Astros, Pineda is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA, three strikeouts and one walk. Brett Gardner (.300, 58 Rs, 9 HRs, 38 RBIs, 15 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Yankees, going 3 for 5 yesterday with three runs.
Houston is a small +103 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Astros perform well as an underdog with a 23-15 record and have an overall money line of +764. Over the last 10 games, they have had a very good record when playing as the underdog (3-1). The Astros come into the game with the fifth-ranked scoring offense in the AL, averaging 4.4 runs per game. The Astros rank second in the majors in extra base hits with 253. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking third in all of baseball with 61 steals. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Astros are second in the league in WHIP at 1.19.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Yankees come into this game with a win percentage of .575 when playing as the favorite (23-17) and an overall money line of -112. During the last 10 games, they averaged 6.3 runs per game, above their 4.8 season average. The Yankees are known for their power, smashing 102 home runs. The New York pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging 8.4 strikeouts per game.
The Yankees are 2-1 against the Astros this season. The Astros will take on a right-hander (Pineda) in this game and have a 27-17 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed McHugh will take the mound against the Yankees, who have a 30-26 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
Houston recorded at least two errors for the eighth time this season.
When the Astros play into extra innings, they have a 3-3 record. The Yankees are 1-4 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Yankees managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Astros who are heading in with a 24-10 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Yankees are 6-26. The Astros have a 9-23 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking first in home runs, Houston has hit 110 this season. New York ranks second with 102 home runs.
Ranking 14th, Houston is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.04 per game. New York ranks in the top five at fifth with 9.00.
Ranking eighth, Houston is in the top 10 of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.733). New York ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .762.
When the Yankees allow at least one home run, they are 20-27. When the Astros allow one or more homers, they have a 15-24 record.