R.A. Dickey (3-7, 4.88 ERA) and Clay Buchholz (5-6, 3.68 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a four-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (41-36) and the Boston Red Sox (34-43) at the Rogers Centre. Action begins at 7:07 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 29 and can be seen on NESN and RSN.
Dickey is 6-5 with a 4.45 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and 75 strikeouts against the Red Sox. Josh Donaldson (.301, 58 Rs, 18 HRs, 48 RBIs, 3 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Buchholz is 12-9 with a 3.51 ERA against the Blue Jays in his career. He is up against a good Toronto offense that's batting .266. Hanley Ramirez (.283, 41 Rs, 15 HRs, 38 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Red Sox, going 2 for 2 yesterday.
Toronto is a -130 favorite against Boston and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Blue Jays have recorded an overall money line of +143 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 24-15. Within its division, Toronto has a 9-6 record as favorite and a 20-17 record SU. The Blue Jays have no trouble scoring as they lead the AL in offense with 5.5 runs per game. The Blue Jays are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits with a phenomenal 9.0 per game. Toronto is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.3 per game.
In games where it is the underdog, Boston has a 12-15 record and an overall money line of -1,795. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 5-9 record against fellow AL East members, and a 5-5 record SU. Offensively, the Red Sox have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.1 runs per game by averaging 5.1 during that stretch. Boston is excellent at not striking out with just 6.5 per game, ranking second in the AL. The Red Sox allow 4.7 runs per game, but does worse whenever another team from the AL East Division is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 5.5 against division foes.
The Blue Jays lead the season series, 6-3. The Blue Jays have a 29-32 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Buchholz takes the mound. Dickey (RHP) will be on the hill against the Red Sox, who have a 25-32 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
The Red Sox currently sit below .500 against the AL East Division at 13-24, and the Blue Jays have a 20-17 record.
When leading after 7 innings, Toronto is 23-15, while Boston is 16-19.
The Blue Jays managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Red Sox who are coming in with a 16-15 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 7-36. The Blue Jays have a 6-27 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 12th in home runs, Boston has hit 74 this season. Toronto ranks third with 98 home runs.
Ranking seventh, Boston is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.74 per game. Toronto ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.01.
Ranking first in on-base plus slugging percentage, Toronto has an OPS of .778 this season. Boston ranks 14th with an OPS of .716.
When the Red Sox allow at least one home run, they are 12-34. When the Blue Jays allow one or more homers, they have a 25-26 record.