Bud Norris (2-6, 6.70 ERA) and Wandy Rodriguez (4-3, 4.06 ERA) start in the first of a four-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (41-34) and the Texas Rangers (38-38) at Camden Yards. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 29 and can be seen on FSN-SW, MASN and ESPN.
Norris pitched 5.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs (five unearned), striking out three and walking one in a 5-1 defeat to the Red Sox. Manny Machado (.305, 50 Rs, 15 HRs, 43 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and two RBIs. Rodriguez is 0-1 with a 5.87 ERA against the Orioles in his career. He takes on a quality Baltimore offense that's batting .262. Prince Fielder (.351, 38 Rs, 12 HRs, 48 RBIs) has been successful at the plate for the Rangers, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Baltimore is a -141 favorite against Texas and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Orioles have recorded an overall money line of +597 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 24-14. Baltimore is an impressive 3-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games.
In games where it is the underdog, Texas has a 33-33 record and an overall money line of +1,322. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-7 record, and a 2-8 record SU. Offensively, the Rangers have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.3 runs per game by averaging 2.5 during that stretch.
The Orioles have a 10-6 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Rodriguez takes the mound. Norris (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rangers, who have a 24-23 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Over
The Rangers lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Orioles are 11-11. The Rangers are 13-12 in close games this season.
When leading after 7 innings, Baltimore is 18-11, while Texas is 14-20.
The Rangers managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Orioles who are heading in with a 13-8 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 30-8. The Rangers have a 28-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 12th in runs, Texas has earned 326 this season. Baltimore ranks third with 348 runs.
Ranking 23rd, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 188 this season. Texas ranks in the top half at 12th with 227.
The Orioles are 34-16 when they hit at least one home run. The Rangers perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 28-17 record.