Sean O Sullivan (1-5, 5.34 ERA) and Jimmy Nelson (4-8, 4.34 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a four-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (27-50) and the Milwaukee Brewers (29-48) at Citizens Bank Park. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 29 and can be seen on FSN-WI and CSN-PHI.
O Sullivan pitched 4.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering six runs and striking out two in an 11-6 defeat to the Yankees. Maikel Franco (.304, 25 Rs, 10 HRs, 32 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run and three RBIs. Nelson went 8.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out five and walking one in a 4-1 win over the Mets in his last outing. Ryan Braun (.259, 42 Rs, 15 HRs, 49 RBIs, 9 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with one run, one home run, two RBIs, and one stolen base.
Milwaukee takes on Philadelphia as a -135 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Phillies have recorded an overall money line of -1,444 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 24-45. The Phillies have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.2 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.3 runs per game. Philadelphia's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.2 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.9.
In the other locker room, Milwaukee is coming in with an overall money line of -1,788 and a disappointing record of 10-17as the favorite. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 4-1 record, and a 5-5 record SU. The The Brewers allow just four runs per road game, ranking them fourth in the NL.
The Phillies have a bad 22-40 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Nelson takes the mound. O Sullivan (RHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have a inferior 20-40 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIL, O/U - Over
Philadelphia has won 34% (13-25) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Milwaukee has won 41% (13-19) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Phillies are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Brewers have a 17-33 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 6-39. The Phillies have an 8-39 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia ranks near the bottom of the league at 29th when it comes to home runs, hitting 48 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top half at 15th with 68.
Philadelphia and Milwaukee both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Philadelphia sits at 13th with 8.12 hits per game and Milwaukee ranks 14th with 8.03.
Ranking 30th, Philadelphia is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.650). Milwaukee ranks near the bottom at 26th with an OPS of .670.
The Brewers are 19-32 when they allow at least one home run. The Phillies perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 12-34 record.