Mike Leake (5-4, 3.91 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (34-40) go up against Mike Pelfrey (5-4, 3.06 ERA) and the Minnesota Twins (40-35) in the first of a three-game interleague series at the Great American Ball Park. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 29 and will air on FSN-N and FSN-OH.
In his last start, Leake pitched 0.0 inning, allowing zero runs in a 2-1 loss to the Mets. Todd Frazier (.290, 54 Rs, 25 HRs, 53 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. In his pitching opportunities against the Reds, Pelfrey is 4-2 with a 5.09 ERA, 21 strikeouts and 16 walks. Torii Hunter (.266, 37 Rs, 11 HRs, 43 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
Cincinnati is a -137 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Reds perform well as a favorite with a 20-12 record, but haven't fared as well with the overall money line (-632). They have a 3-8 SU record in games versus the AL, but have gone 1-0 as the favorite. Cincinnati has averaged 3.2 runs per game during interleague play, lower than its season average of 4.0. The Reds are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with an MLB-high 75 steals.
On the other side, the Twins have a record of 33-28 when they are the underdog and are +1,240 overall with the money line. When playing Interleague competitors, they have a 0-3 as the favorite and 7-8 SU. The Twins have not played up to par on offense against the NL. Minnesota has averaged 3.3 runs per game, less than their 4.2 season average.
This game will feature Pelfrey (RHP) on the mound against the Reds, who have a 25-29 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Leake will take the mound against the Twins, who have a 22-25 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - CIN, O/U - Over
For the 12th time this season, the Reds registered at least two errors in a game.
The Twins are 3-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Reds are 4-6 in such matchups.
The Twins managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Reds who are heading in with a 16-10 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 26-10. The Twins have a 27-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st in runs, Cincinnati has earned 295 this season. Minnesota ranks 16th with 313 runs.
Ranking 24th, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 181 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the top half at 11th with 231.
The Reds are 30-20 when they hit at least one home run. The Twins perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 29-14 record.