Jon Niese (3-7, 4.12 ERA) and Kyle Hendricks (2-4, 4.46 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the New York Mets (40-37) and the Chicago Cubs (39-35) at Citi Field. The Cubs come into this series hoping to snap a five-game losing streak. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 30 and can be seen on CSN-CHI and SNY.
Niese is 3-5 with a 5.23 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, and 40 strikeouts against the Cubs. Curtis Granderson (.259, 42 Rs, 13 HRs, 27 RBIs, 5 SBs) continued his strong play Sunday, going 2 for 5 with two RBIs. Against the Mets, Hendricks is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA, 0.71 WHIP, and three strikeouts. Kris Bryant (.273, 40 Rs, 10 HRs, 43 RBIs, 6 SBs) went 1 for 4 Sunday.
New York is a narrow -115 favorite at home against Chicago. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of seven runs. The Mets have recorded an overall money line of +47 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 33-12. The Mets have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.2 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.6 runs per game. Turning to the pitchers, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Mets, who have a team ERA of only 3.47. The Mets are the fourth-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.20 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Chicago has a 16-16 record and an overall money line of +88. Offensively, the Cubs have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.0 runs per game by averaging 2.5 during that stretch. The Cubs are tough outs for opponents, ranking fifth in the NL with 8.9 hits per road game. Chicago's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL, with a 3.53 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Cubs are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.20 for the season. The Cubs have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 8.3 strikeouts per road game.
The Cubs have the edge in the season series, 4-0. The Mets have a 34-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Hendricks takes the mound. Niese (LHP) will be on the hill against the Cubs, who have a 6-4 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - CHC, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 17-15, while Chicago is 16-15.
After a weak showing last week where they got in eight hits, the Mets need to step it up. The Cubs have a record of 27-13 when opponents get eight hits or fewer.
It looks like the Mets have a slight leg up on the Cubs, as the Mets have won their last four games while the Cubs have lost their last five.
When they outhit their opponents, the Cubs are 26-6. The Mets have a 25-3 record when outhitting opponents.
New York and Chicago both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. New York sits at 27th with 276 runs this season and Chicago ranks 21st with 295.
Ranking 20th, New York is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 209 this season. Chicago ranks in the top five at fourth with 247.
When the Mets hit at least one home run, they are 25-14, well-matched with the Cubs who are 25-15 when hitting one or more homers.