Shelby Miller (5-3, 1.94 ERA) and Jordan Zimmermann (5-5, 3.42 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the Atlanta Braves (36-40) and the Washington Nationals (42-34) at Turner Field. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 30 and can be seen on MASN and SPSO.
Miller is 2-0 with a 0.85 ERA in his appearances against the Nationals, but goes up against a good Washington offense which is batting .259 this season. Cameron Maybin (.286, 30 Rs, 6 HRs, 36 RBIs, 13 SBs) went 1 for 4 Sunday with one run. Zimmermann is 5-2 with a 2.84 ERA when pitching against the Braves. He takes on a quality Atlanta offense which is hitting .257 this season. Denard Span (.305, 36 Rs, 5 HRs, 21 RBIs, 8 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 Sunday with one run.
Washington takes on Atlanta as a -128 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at six runs. The Braves have an overall money line of +252 and a record as the underdog of 26-34. Within its division, Atlanta has a 5-4 as the underdog and a 17-19 SU. The Braves have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.1 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.0 runs per game. Atlanta strikes out the least of any team in the NL, with only 6.8 per game.
In games where it is the favorite, Washington has a 34-23 record and an overall money line of +70. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 7-1 record, and an 8-2 record SU. Washington is excellent at drawing walks with 3.1 per game, ranking fifth in the NL. The Nationals allow 4.0 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 2.2 runs per game during that span. When it comes to issuing walks, the Nationals have the fewest in the NL with only 2.2 walks allowed per game.
The Nationals have controlled the season series, 8-1. The Braves have a 31-34 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Zimmermann takes the mound. Miller (RHP) will be on the hill against the Nationals, who have a 31-30 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - WSH, O/U - Over
The Nationals sit at 22-13 against their divisional rivals, while the Braves are 17-19.
The Nationals are 5-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Braves are 2-5 in such matchups.
The Nationals are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Braves have a 6-9 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 27-12. The Nationals have a 32-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 18th, Atlanta is in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 304 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 336.
Ranking 15th, Atlanta is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 224 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 234.
When the Braves hit at least one home run, they are 20-13, well-matched with the Nationals who are 29-15 when hitting one or more homers.