Mike Montgomery (2-2, 2.04 ERA) starts for the Seattle Mariners (34-42) as they square off against Ian Kennedy (4-6, 5.09 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (37-41) in the first of a two-game series at Petco Park. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 30 and can be seen on ROOT-NW and FSN-SD.
Kennedy pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering one, striking out six and walking four in a 6-0 defeat to the Giants. Montgomery went 9.0 innings, surrendering zero runs and striking out 10 in a 7-0 win over the Royals in his most recent start. Nelson Cruz (.305, 36 Rs, 19 HRs, 46 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 Sunday with one RBI.
San Diego is a -121 favorite against Seattle and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Padres have an overall money line of -367 and a record as the favorite of 21-16. Against the AL, they are winless as the favorite (0-5), but have an SU record of 4-8. The Padres have seen a decline in scoring against teams in the AL, averaging 3.3 runs per game. They average 4.2 runs per game on the season. San Diego's pitchers fall apart when American League teams are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 6.9 against AL teams, compared to its 4.6 season average. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Padres, who rank third in the NL in strikeouts per game with 8.4.
In games where it is the underdog, Seattle has a 14-15 record and an overall money line of -1,332. They played solid baseball as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 3-1 record, and a 4-6 record SU.
The Padres have a 9-7 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Montgomery takes the mound. Kennedy (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mariners, who have a 27-33 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SD, O/U - Under
In their last game, the Mariners lost by a margin of one run. The Padres are 9-11 in one-run games. The Mariners have a 15-13 record in close games.
When the Padres play into extra innings, they have a 5-3 record. The Mariners are 4-6 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Mariners managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Padres who are heading in with a 6-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 18-13. The Padres have a 27-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Seattle sits at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 255 this season. San Diego ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 327.
Ranking 21st, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 196 this season. Seattle ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 214.
When the Padres hit at least one home run, they are 24-14. When the Mariners hit at least one homer, they have a 28-19 record.