Marco Estrada (5-3, 3.45 ERA) and Eduardo Rodriguez (3-2, 4.33 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a four-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (41-37) and the Boston Red Sox (35-43) at the Rogers Centre. The Red Sox won the last game 3-1 and Boston leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:07 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 30 and can be seen on NESN and RSN.
Estrada pitched 8.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs and striking out 10 in a 1-0 defeat to the Rays. Chris Colabello (.337, 32 Rs, 6 HRs, 28 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. When pitching against the Blue Jays, Rodriguez is 0-1 with a 17.36 ERA, 2.36 WHIP, and one strike out. Hanley Ramirez (.283, 41 Rs, 15 HRs, 38 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Red Sox, going 2 for 2 yesterday.
Toronto is a -139 favorite against Boston and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Blue Jays have recorded an overall money line of +243 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 25-15. Within its division, Toronto has a 9-6 record as favorite and a 20-17 record SU. The Blue Jays have no trouble scoring as they lead the AL in offense with 5.5 runs per game. The Blue Jays are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits with a phenomenal 8.9 per game.
In games where it is the underdog, Boston has a 13-15 record and an overall money line of -1,629. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 6-9 record against AL East foes, and a 6-4 record SU. Offensively, the Red Sox have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.1 runs per game by averaging 5.4 during that stretch. Boston is excellent at drawing walks with 3.1 per game, ranking fifth in the AL. The Red Sox allow 4.7 runs per game, but does worse whenever another team from the AL East Division is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 5.5 against division foes.
The Blue Jays lead the season series, 6-4. The Blue Jays have a great 8-2 record at home (11-4 overall) against left-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Rodriguez takes the mound. Estrada (RHP) will be on the hill against the Red Sox, who have a 26-32 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
The Red Sox currently sit below .500 against the AL East Division at 14-24, and the Blue Jays have a 20-18 record.
The Blue Jays and the Red Sox are both 3-2 in games that go into extra innings.
The Red Sox are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Blue Jays have a 2-1 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they outhit their opponents, the Red Sox are 28-5. The Blue Jays have a 35-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking first in runs, Toronto has earned 421 this season. Boston ranks 14th with 317 runs.
Ranking seventh, Boston is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 243 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at third with 255.
The Blue Jays are 36-18 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Red Sox are 25-25 when they hit at least one homer.