Runs may be hard to come by in this one as Cole Hamels (5-6, 3.26 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies (27-51) go up against Taylor Jungmann (2-1, 2.74 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (30-48) in the second of a four-game series at Citizens Bank Park. The Brewers won the last game 7-4 and Milwaukee leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 30 and will air on FSN-WI and CSN-PHI.
Hamels is 7-3 with a 3.71 ERA, 74 strikeouts and 21 walks against the Brewers in his career. Ben Revere (.289, 41 Rs, 1 HR, 20 RBIs, 18 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI. The Brewers were unsuccessful the last time Jungmann pitched. He had a good outing, pitching, going 5.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out five and walking two in a 2-0 loss to the Mets. Ryan Braun (.265, 42 Rs, 15 HRs, 50 RBIs, 9 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Brewers, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one RBI.
Philadelphia is a -148 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Phillies perform poorly as a favorite with a 3-5 record and have an overall money line of -1,444. The most recent 10-game stretch for the Phillies has gone great. Over that span, Philadelphia is averaging 5.2 runs per game, well over their season average of 3.3. Below average play has been the norm lately for the Philadelphia pitchers. The Phillies have given up an average of 6.2 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 4.9 runs per game.
Switching gears, the Brewers come into this game with a weak win percentage of .380 when playing as the underdog (19-31) and an overall money line of -1,788. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 5-5 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-4 record. The Brewers are one of the top NL pitching staffs on the road, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of four runs allowed per away game.
The only other game between the two teams went Milwaukee's way. The Phillies will take on a right-hander (Jungmann) in this game. They have struggled against right-handed starting pitchers this season, going 22-40. Taking the hill against the Brewers will be the left-hander Hamels. They sport a 9-8 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIL, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Milwaukee is 13-19, while Philadelphia is 13-25.
The Phillies are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Brewers have an 18-33 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 6-39. The Phillies have an 8-40 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia ranks near the bottom of the league at 29th when it comes to home runs, hitting 48 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top half at 15th with 68.
Philadelphia and Milwaukee both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Philadelphia sits at 13th with 8.18 hits per game and Milwaukee ranks 14th with 8.03.
Philadelphia and Milwaukee both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Philadelphia sits at 29th with an OPS of .651 and Milwaukee ranks 26th with an OPS of .674.
When the Brewers allow at least one home run, they are 19-32, well-matched with the Phillies who are 12-34 when allowing at least one homer.