Anthony DeSclafani (5-5, 3.35 ERA) and Phil Hughes (6-6, 4.20 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (35-40) and the Minnesota Twins (40-36) at the Great American Ball Park. The Reds won the last game 11-7 and Cincinnati leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 30 and can be seen on FSN-N and FSN-OH.
DeSclafani pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering one, striking out five and walking two in a 5-4 defeat to the Pirates. Todd Frazier (.289, 54 Rs, 25 HRs, 54 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one RBI. Hughes went 8.0 innings, surrendering one run and striking out five in a 6-1 win over the White Sox in his last outing. Brian Dozier (.266, 58 Rs, 16 HRs, 40 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs.
Cincinnati is a slim -114 favorite at home against Minnesota. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs for this matchup. Though the Reds have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-632), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 20-12. Against the AL, they are unbeaten as the favorite (1-0), but have an SU record of 3-8. The Reds have seen a decline in scoring against teams in the AL, averaging 3.2 runs per game. They average 4.0 runs per game on the season. The Reds are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits at home with an impressive 8.6 per game. Cincinnati leads the MLB in steals, swiping 81 bases.
In games where it is the underdog, Minnesota has a 33-28 record and an overall money line of +1,240. Minnesota is 7-5 as the underdog and 7-8 SU against teams in the NL. Offensively, the Twins have really sputtered in interleague games. They have decreased their season average of 4.2 runs per game by averaging 3.3 in those contests.
The Reds have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Reds have a 25-29 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Hughes takes the mound. DeSclafani (RHP) will be on the hill against the Twins, who have a 22-25 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - CIN, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Cincinnati is 14-17, while Minnesota is 12-16.
The Reds are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 11 runs. The Twins have a 0-6 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they are outhit, the Twins are 7-33. The Reds have a 6-27 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 21st in home runs, Minnesota has hit 63 this season. Cincinnati ranks sixth with 88 home runs.
Cincinnati and Minnesota both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Cincinnati sits at ninth with 8.49 hits per game and Minnesota ranks 10th with 8.29.
Ranking 20th, Minnesota is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.692). Cincinnati ranks in the top half at 12th with an OPS of .723.
When the Twins allow at least one home run, they are 22-26. When the Reds allow one or more homers, they have a 16-31 record.