Andrew Heaney (0-0, 1.50 ERA) and Ivan Nova (1-0, 0.00 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Los Angeles Angels (40-37) and the New York Yankees (41-36) at Angel Stadium. The Angels won the last game 4-1 and Los Angeles leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 10:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 30 and can be seen on YES and FSN-W.
Heaney pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering one run, striking out five and walking one in a 2-1 defeat to the Astros. Mike Trout (.300, 56 Rs, 20 HRs, 43 RBIs, 9 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, one RBI, and one stolen base. When pitching against the Angels, Nova is 4-2 with a 5.45 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, and 21 strikeouts. Brett Gardner (.305, 58 Rs, 9 HRs, 39 RBIs, 15 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Yankees, going 3 for 5 yesterday.
Los Angeles is a slim -115 favorite at home against New York. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently eight runs. The Angels have an overall money line of -148 and a record as the favorite of 23-19. The Angels are the fourth-best team in the AL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 7.8 hits per game to their opponents this season.
In games where it is the underdog, New York has a 17-18 record and an overall money line of -120. Offensively, the Yankees have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.8 runs per game by averaging 6.2 during that stretch. The Yankees have a dynamic offense, ranking third in the league with 247 extra base hits. New York is excellent at drawing walks with 3.1 per road game, ranking fifth in the AL. The Yankees allow 4.5 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 5.6 runs per game during that span.
The Yankees lead the season series, 3-1. The Angels have a 29-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Nova takes the mound. Heaney (LHP) will be on the hill against the Yankees, who have an 11-8 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
New York has won 45% (19-23) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Los Angeles has won 62% (21-13) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Angels managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Yankees who are coming in with a 22-6 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
It looks like the Angels have a slight leg up on the Yankees, as the Angels have won their last three games while the Yankees have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Angels are 28-9. The Yankees have a 28-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 20th, Los Angeles is in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 300 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 364.
Ranking 17th, Los Angeles is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 214 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fourth with 250.
The Angels are 29-19 when they hit at least one home run. The Yankees perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 34-20 record.