James Shields (7-2, 4.24 ERA) and Taijuan Walker (6-6, 4.64 ERA) take the hill in the second of a two-game series between the San Diego Padres (37-42) and the Seattle Mariners (35-42) at Petco Park. The Mariners won the last game 5-0 and Seattle leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 3:40 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jul. 1 and can be seen on ROOT-NW and FSN-SD.
Shields is 5-4 with a 3.87 ERA in his appearances against the Mariners, and goes up against a below-average Seattle offense which is batting just .230 this season. Against the Padres, Walker is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, and six strikeouts. Nelson Cruz (.305, 37 Rs, 19 HRs, 46 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run.
San Diego is a -146 favorite against Seattle and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Padres have an overall money line of -367 and a record as the favorite of 21-16. In interleague play, they are winless as the favorite (0-5), but have an SU record of 4-8. The Padres have seen a decline in scoring against teams in the AL, averaging 3.3 runs per game. They average 4.2 runs per game on the season. San Diego's pitchers fall apart when American League teams are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 6.9 against AL teams, compared to its 4.6 season average. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Padres, who rank third in the NL in strikeouts per game with 8.4.
In games where it is the underdog, Seattle has a 14-15 record and an overall money line of -1,332. They played solid baseball as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 3-1 record, and a 4-6 record SU.
The Mariners lead the season series, 2-1. The Padres have a 28-34 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Walker takes the mound. Shields (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mariners, who have a 27-33 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SD, O/U - Under
After last game's shutout win against the San Diego Padres, the Mariners now have six shutouts this season. The Padres have been shut out in 12 games this season.
The Padres are 5-3 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Mariners are 4-6 in such matchups.
The Mariners managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Padres who are heading in with a 13-7 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 19-13. The Padres have a 27-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th, Seattle sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 260 this season. San Diego ranks in the top half at 12th with 327.
Ranking 21st, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 200 this season. Seattle ranks in the bottom half at 18th with 215.
When the Padres hit at least one home run, they are 24-14, well-matched with the Mariners who are 29-19 when hitting one or more homers.