In the third of a four-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (27-52) and the Milwaukee Brewers (27-52) at Citizens Bank Park, Aaron Harang (4-10, 3.56 ERA) and Kyle Lohse (4-9, 6.28 ERA) get the ball. The Brewers won the last game 4-3 and Milwaukee leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jul. 1 and will air on FSN-WI and CSN-PHI.
Harang is 7-6 with a 4.10 ERA and 1.41 WHIP against the Brewers in his career. Maikel Franco (.294, 25 Rs, 10 HRs, 32 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 5 yesterday. In his pitching opportunities against the Phillies, Lohse is 5-5 with a 3.23 ERA, 66 strikeouts and 24 walks. Ryan Braun (.275, 44 Rs, 15 HRs, 50 RBIs, 9 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Brewers, going 4 for 5 yesterday with two runs.
Philadelphia, a +118 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Milwaukee. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at eight runs. The Phillies have a losing record of 24-46 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -1,544. The most recent 10-game stretch for the Phillies has gone great. Over that span, Philadelphia is averaging 5.4 runs per game, well over their season average of 3.3. Philadelphia's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 6.8 during that span, compared to its 5.0 season average.
Switching to the opposing bench, the Brewers come into this game with a weak win percentage of 11-17 when playing as the favorite (.393) and an overall money line of -1,688. They have played at the top of their game when rated as favorite recently. They managed a 5-1 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 6-4. Milwaukee's pitching staff and defense as a whole has been firing on all cylinders so far, ranking fourth in the NL with only four runs allowed per road game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 2-0 against the Phillies. This game will feature Lohse (RHP) on the mound against the Phillies, who have a 22-41 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Brewers will be the right-hander Harang. Right-handed starters have been a big issue for them as they sport a 21-40 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIL, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Brewers won by a margin of one run. The Phillies are 9-14 in one-run games. The Brewers have a 9-8 record in close games.
Philadelphia has won 34% (13-25) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Milwaukee has won 41% (13-19) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Phillies are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded nine strikeouts. The Brewers have a record of 8-18 when they are struck out that many times or more.
It looks like the Brewers have a slight leg up on the Phillies, as the Brewers have won their last three games while the Phillies have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 17-7. The Brewers have a 24-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total runs this season, Philadelphia ranks 28th with 263 runs and Milwaukee is 24th with 294.
Philadelphia and Milwaukee both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Philadelphia sits at 28th with 175 this season and Milwaukee ranks 27th with 177.
When the Phillies hit at least one home run, they are 16-21. When the Brewers hit at least one homer, they have a 24-16 record.