Matt Shoemaker (4-6, 5.03 ERA) and Nathan Eovaldi start in the last of a three-game series between the Los Angeles Angels (41-37) and the New York Yankees (41-37) at Angel Stadium. The Angels won the last game 2-1 and Los Angeles leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jul. 1 and can be seen on YES, FSN-W and ESPN.
Shoemaker pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out two and walking two in a 3-1 defeat to the Mariners. Mike Trout (.303, 56 Rs, 20 HRs, 43 RBIs, 9 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4. Brett Gardner (.305, 58 Rs, 9 HRs, 39 RBIs, 15 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Los Angeles is a -126 favorite against New York and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Angels have an overall money line of -48 and a record as the favorite of 24-19. The Angels are the fourth-best team in the AL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 7.8 hits per game to their opponents this season.
In games where it is the underdog, New York has a 17-19 record and an overall money line of -220. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-3 record, and a 4-6 record SU. The Yankees have a dynamic offense, ranking third in the league with 248 extra base hits. New York is excellent at drawing walks with 3.1 per road game, ranking fifth in the AL. The Yankees allow 4.5 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 5.8 runs per game during that span.
The Yankees lead the season series, 3-2. The Angels have a 29-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Warren takes the mound. Shoemaker (RHP) will be on the hill against the Yankees, who have a 30-27 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
The Yankees lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Angels are 14-12. The Yankees are 10-11 in close games this season.
When the Angels play into extra innings, they have a 3-3 record. The Yankees are 1-4 when their games exceed nine innings.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Yankees are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Angels have a 16-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Yankees are 6-28. The Angels have a 9-25 record when opponents outhit them.
Los Angeles ranks in the top 10 of the league at ninth when it comes to home runs, hitting 80 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 103.
Ranking 14th, Los Angeles is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.97 per game. New York ranks in the top five at fourth with 8.91.
Ranking 22nd, Los Angeles is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.686). New York ranks in the top five at fifth with an OPS of .751.
The Yankees are 20-29 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Angels are 19-30 when they allow at least one homer.