Alfredo Simon (7-4, 3.57 ERA) and the Detroit Tigers (39-37) meet A.J. Burnett (6-3, 2.01 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (43-33) in the second of a three-game interleague series at Comerica Park. The Pirates won the last game 5-4 and Pittsburgh leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:08 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jul. 1 and will air on ROOT-PIT and FSN-DET.
Simon is 4-4 with a 2.98 ERA against the Pirates in his career, but is up against a solid Pittsburgh offense that's hitting .255 on the year. Miguel Cabrera (.349, 42 Rs, 15 HRs, 53 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 6. In his pitching opportunities against the Tigers, Burnett is 6-3 with a 4.81 ERA. He meets a strong Detroit offense that's batting .275. Andrew McCutchen (.296, 40 Rs, 9 HRs, 45 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Pirates, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one RBI.
Detroit is a -116 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Tigers are 24-19 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -9. They have an SU record of 7-7 against the National League and a 3-3 record when they were the favorite in those games. Detroit has averaged 5.5 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.4. The Tigers are a stellar hitting team with an AL-best 9.4 hits per game. Detroit's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 6.5 during that span, compared to its 4.4 season average.
On the other side, the Pirates have a subpar record of 6-14 when they are the underdog, but are +216 overall with the money line. Over the last 10 games, they were winless as the underdog with a 0-2 record and 4-6 SU. The Pirates have racked up 57 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Pittsburgh pitchers. They allowed 4.5 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 3.4.
This game will feature Burnett (RHP) on the mound against the Tigers, who have a 28-29 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Simon will take the mound against the Pirates, who have a 34-27 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Pirates won by a margin of one run. The Tigers are 13-12 in one-run games. The Pirates have a 15-13 record in close games.
The Tigers are 3-5 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Pirates are 4-7 in such matchups.
The Pirates are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Tigers have a 7-12 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Tigers are 33-10. The Pirates have a 31-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st in runs, Pittsburgh has earned 303 this season. Detroit ranks 12th with 331 runs.
Ranking 22nd, Pittsburgh is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 197 this season. Detroit ranks in the top half at 14th with 228.
The Tigers are 29-14 when they hit at least one home run. The Pirates perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 24-15 record.