Matt Boyd (0-1, 5.40 ERA) and Wade Miley (7-7, 4.38 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a four-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (42-38) and the Boston Red Sox (36-44) at the Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays won the last game 11-2 and Boston leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 7:07 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jul. 2 and can be seen on NESN and RSN.
Boyd pitched 6.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs and striking out seven in a 4-0 defeat to the Rangers. Josh Donaldson (.302, 60 Rs, 19 HRs, 51 RBIs, 3 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 3 for 5 with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs. Miley is 0-2 with a 10.57 ERA against the Blue Jays in his career. He is up against a good Toronto offense that's batting .266. Hanley Ramirez (.282, 42 Rs, 15 HRs, 38 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Toronto is a -133 favorite against Boston and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Blue Jays have an overall money line of -14 and a record as the favorite of 25-17. Toronto is a disappointing 2-5 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Blue Jays have no trouble scoring as they lead the AL in offense with 5.4 runs per game. The Blue Jays are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits with an impressive 8.9 per game.
In games where it is the underdog, Boston has a 15-15 record and an overall money line of -1,392. They played solid baseball as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 5-2 record, and a 6-4 record SU. Boston is excellent at drawing walks with 3.1 per game, ranking fourth in the AL. The Red Sox allow 4.6 runs per game, but does worse whenever another team from the AL East Division is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 5.3 against division foes.
The Blue Jays lead the season series, 7-5. The Blue Jays have a great 8-3 record at home (11-5 overall) against left-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Miley takes the mound. Boyd (LHP) will be on the hill against the Red Sox, who have an 8-11 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
The Red Sox currently sit below .500 against the AL East Division at 15-25, and the Blue Jays have a 21-19 record.
The Blue Jays and the Red Sox are both 3-2 in games that go into extra innings.
The Red Sox are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Blue Jays have an 8-9 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Red Sox are 29-5. The Blue Jays have a 36-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Toronto ranks at the top of the league when it comes to runs with 435 this season. Boston ranks in the top half at 15th with 323.
Ranking eighth, Boston is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 248 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at third with 258.
When the Blue Jays hit at least one home run, they are 37-19. When the Red Sox hit at least one homer, they have a 26-26 record.