Kevin Gausman (1-0, 4.24 ERA) and Yovani Gallardo (7-6, 2.72 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a four-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (42-36) and the Texas Rangers (40-39) at Camden Yards. The Orioles won the last game 4-2 and Texas leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jul. 2 and can be seen on FSN-SW and MASN2.
Gausman pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out one and walking one in a 5-3 defeat to the Blue Jays. Jimmy Paredes (.319, 35 Rs, 10 HRs, 38 RBIs, 3 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. Gallardo is 1-0 with a 4.05 ERA when pitching against the Orioles. He is up against a good Baltimore offense which is hitting .261 this season.
Baltimore is a -128 favorite against Texas and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Orioles have recorded an overall money line of +425 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 25-16.
In games where it is the underdog, Texas has a 35-33 record and an overall money line of +1,574.
The Rangers lead the season series, 2-1. The Orioles have a 31-29 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Gallardo takes the mound. Gausman (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rangers, who have a 26-23 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Over
Texas has won 42% (15-21) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Baltimore has won 61% (19-12) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Rangers are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Orioles have an 11-15 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 31-8. The Rangers have a 30-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking eighth, Texas sits in the top 10 of the league in runs, scoring 344 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top five at fourth with 359.
Ranking 23rd, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 193 this season. Texas ranks in the top half at 12th with 234.
When the Orioles hit at least one home run, they are 35-17, well-matched with the Rangers who are 30-18 when hitting one or more homers.