In the last of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (33-46) and the San Francisco Giants (33-46) at Marlins Park, Jose Fernandez (0-0, 0.00 ERA) and Matt Cain (0-0, 0.00 ERA) get the start. The Marlins won the last game 6-5 and Miami leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 12:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jul. 2 and will air on CSN-BAY and MLB Network.
This is the first time Fernandez will take the hill this season. He pitched 51.2 innings last season, finishing 4-2 with a 2.44 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and 70 strikeoutsDee Gordon (.350, 41 Rs, 1 HR, 21 RBIs, 26 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI. In his career against the Marlins, Cain is 6-4 with a 3.20 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and 78 strikeouts. Matt Duffy (.300, 31 Rs, 8 HRs, 37 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run and one stolen base.
Miami is a -128 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Marlins are 16-18 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -1,395. They have SU record of 3-7 and are unbeaten as the favorite (1-0) over their last 10 games. The Marlins will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In the last 10 games, Miami has only averaged 2.1 runs per game compared to the 3.6 they've averaged on the season.
On the other side, the Giants have a nice record of 22-14 when they are the underdog and are +228 overall with the money line. They sport the top-ranked offense in the NL, averaging five runs per game. The top hitting team in the NL are the Giants, who average 9.3 hits per game. The Giants average just 6.9 strikeouts per game, one of the lowest marks in the NL. Switching gears to San Francisco's pitching staff, they allow just 2.7 hits per road game, good for fourth in the NL.
The Marlins have gotten the best of the Giants in head-to-head matchups this season, going 4-2. The Marlins will take on a right-hander (Cain) in this game and have a 23-37 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Giants will be the right-hander Fernandez. They sport a 31-30 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Giants lost by a margin of one run. The Marlins are 12-11 in one-run games. The Giants have an 11-10 record in close games.
Miami has won 37% (15-26) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, San Francisco has won 54% (13-11) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Marlins are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Giants have a 3-3 record when opponents give up that many walks.
It looks like the Marlins have a slight leg up on the Giants, as the Marlins have won their last two games while the Giants have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 25-12. The Giants have a 37-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 25th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 291 this season. San Francisco ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 337.
Ranking 25th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 183 this season. San Francisco ranks in the top half at 15th with 226.
When the Marlins hit at least one home run, they are 22-26. When the Giants hit at least one homer, they have a 29-14 record.