Chad Billingsley (0-2, 6.75 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies (27-53) go up against Matt Garza (4-10, 5.52 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (32-48) in the last of a four-game series at Citizens Bank Park. The Brewers won the last game 9-5 and Milwaukee can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. The game starts at 6:35 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jul. 2 and will air on FSN-WI and CSN-PHI.
Billingsley is 2-2 with a 4.53 ERA, 35 strikeouts and 16 walks against the Brewers in his career. Maikel Franco (.305, 26 Rs, 10 HRs, 34 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 4 with one run and two RBIs. In his pitching opportunities against the Phillies, Garza is 2-2 with a 1.86 ERA, 35 strikeouts and 15 walks. Adam Lind (.294, 30 Rs, 12 HRs, 44 RBIs) has been doing well, going 2 for 5 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
Philadelphia, a +117 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Milwaukee. The matchup currently has an eight-run Over/Under (O/U). The Phillies have a losing record of 24-46 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -1,668. Over their past 10 games, Philadelphia's offense has been playing lights out, averaging 5.3 runs per game, well over their season average of 3.3.
Switching to the opposing bench, the Brewers come into this game with a weak win percentage of 11-17 when playing as the favorite (.393) and an overall money line of -1,574. They have played at the top of their game when rated as favorite recently. They managed a 5-1 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 6-4. Milwaukee's pitching staff and defense as a whole has been firing on all cylinders so far, ranking fourth in the NL with only four runs allowed per road game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 3-0 against the Phillies. The Phillies will take on a right-hander (Garza) in this game. They have struggled against right-handed starting pitchers this season, going 22-42. Taking the hill against the Brewers will be the right-hander Billingsley. Right-handed starters have been a big issue for them as they sport a 21-40 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIL, O/U - Over
For the 15th time this season, the Brewers registered at least two errors in a game.
When the Brewers play into extra innings, they have a 2-2 record. The Phillies are 2-4 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Brewers are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Phillies have a record of 17-15 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 6-39. The Phillies have an 8-42 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 29th in home runs, Philadelphia has hit 49 this season. Milwaukee ranks 16th with 69 home runs.
Philadelphia and Milwaukee both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Philadelphia sits at 13th with 8.19 hits per game and Milwaukee ranks 14th with 8.15.
Philadelphia and Milwaukee both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Philadelphia sits at 29th with an OPS of .652 and Milwaukee ranks 25th with an OPS of .680.
When the Brewers allow at least one home run, they are 20-32, well-matched with the Phillies who are 12-35 when allowing at least one homer.