In a game that has the potential for a lot of runs, Drew Hutchison (8-1, 4.99 ERA) and the Toronto Blue Jays (42-39) are in Detroit to square off against Anibal Sanchez (6-7, 4.63 ERA) and the Tigers (39-39). This is the first of a three-game series at Comerica Park. Action begins at 7:08 p.m. ET on Friday, Jul. 3 and can be seen on RSN, FSN-DET and MLB Network.
Sanchez is 2-2 with a 4.41 ERA in his appearances against the Blue Jays, and goes up against a good Toronto offense which is batting .267 this season. Miguel Cabrera (.345, 43 Rs, 15 HRs, 53 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 2 yesterday with one run. Against the Tigers, Hutchison is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA, 0.43 WHIP, and seven strikeouts. Josh Donaldson (.300, 60 Rs, 19 HRs, 52 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one RBI.
Detroit is a -125 favorite against Toronto and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Tigers have an overall money line of -319 and a record as the favorite of 24-20. The Tigers have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.7 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.3 runs per game. The Tigers lead the AL in hits with an impressive 9.6 per game. Detroit's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.8 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.5.
In games where it is the underdog, Toronto has a 16-21 record and an overall money line of +86. Offensively, they average 5.4 runs per game, which is tops in the AL. The Blue Jays are tough outs for opponents, ranking fourth in the AL with 8.9 hits per game. Toronto is excellent at not striking out with just 7.2 per game, ranking fifth in the AL.
The Tigers have a 28-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Hutchison takes the mound. Sanchez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Blue Jays, who have a 31-33 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
Detroit has won 52% (17-16) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Toronto has won 59% (24-17) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Tigers managed to give up seven walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Blue Jays who are coming in with a 4-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 4-27. The Blue Jays have a 6-30 record when opponents outhit them.
Detroit ranks in the bottom half of the league at 16th when it comes to home runs, hitting 69 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at second with 106.
Ranking first in hits, Detroit has earned 9.57 per game this season. Toronto ranks fourth with 8.95 hits.
Ranking first in on-base plus slugging percentage, Toronto has an OPS of .783 this season. Detroit ranks third with an OPS of .754.
When the Blue Jays allow at least one home run, they are 26-28. When the Tigers allow one or more homers, they have a 16-29 record.