Julio Teheran (5-4, 4.94 ERA) and Kevin Correia (0-2, 3.60 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Atlanta Braves (38-41) and the Philadelphia Phillies (27-54) at Turner Field. Action begins at 7:35 p.m. ET on Friday, Jul. 3 and can be seen on CSN-PHI and FSN-S.
Teheran is 3-3 with a 2.92 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, and 35 strikeouts against the Phillies. Cameron Maybin (.281, 31 Rs, 6 HRs, 37 RBIs, 14 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI. Correia is 4-3 with a 3.88 ERA against the Braves in his career. He is up against a quality Atlanta offense that's batting .255. Ben Revere (.289, 43 Rs, 1 HR, 21 RBIs, 19 SBs) went 1 for 1 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Atlanta is a -171 favorite against Philadelphia and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Braves have recorded an overall money line of +279 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 10-6. Within its division, Atlanta has a 5-4 record as favorite and an 18-20 record SU. The Braves have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.2 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.0 runs per game. Atlanta strikes out the least of any team in the NL, with only 6.8 per game.
In the other locker room, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -1,768 and a disappointing record of 24-47 as the underdog. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 10-22 record against teams in their division, and a 4-6 record SU. Offensively, the Phillies have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.4 runs per game by averaging 5.7 during that stretch. Philadelphia is excellent at not striking out with just 7.0 per game, ranking third in the NL. The Phillies average 5.0 runs allowed per game, but does better whenever another team from the NL East is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average down to 4.3 against division foes.
The Braves have a 32-35 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Correia takes the mound. Teheran (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have inferior records against right-handed starting pitchers on the road and overall of 7-23 and 22-43, respectively.
Predictions: SU Winner - ATL, O/U - Over
The Phillies are struggling at 11-23 in their division, while the Braves sit at 19-20.
When leading after 7 innings, Atlanta is 18-26, while Philadelphia is 13-27.
The Braves are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Phillies have a 1-6 record when opponents give up that many walks.
It looks like the Braves have a slight leg up on the Phillies, as the Braves have won their last two games while the Phillies have lost their last four.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 28-12. The Phillies have a 17-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th, Philadelphia sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 275 this season. Atlanta ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 311.
Ranking 28th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 181 this season. Atlanta ranks in the bottom half at 16th with 226.
The Braves are 21-14 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Phillies are 16-22 when they hit at least one homer.