Jeremy Guthrie (6-5, 5.68 ERA) and Tommy Milone (4-1, 3.19 ERA) start in the second of a four-game series between the Kansas City Royals (44-32) and the Minnesota Twins (42-37) at Kauffman Stadium. The Twins won the last game 2-0 and Minnesota leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Jul. 3 and can be seen on FSN-N and FSN-KC.
Guthrie is 9-4 with a 3.47 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, and 69 strikeouts against the Twins. Lorenzo Cain (.298, 45 Rs, 6 HRs, 33 RBIs, 15 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Milone is 4-2 with a 4.21 ERA against the Royals in his career. He takes on a good Kansas City offense that's batting .269. Torii Hunter (.270, 40 Rs, 12 HRs, 44 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Kansas City is a -154 favorite against Minnesota and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Royals have recorded an overall money line of +1,209 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 24-15. Kansas City has gone winless in its last 10 as the favorite. The Royals are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits with an impressive 9.2 per game. Kansas City strikes out the least of any team in the AL, with only 5.9 per game. As for the Kansas City defense and pitching staff, it's been a struggle for opposing teams to score runs against the Royals. The 3.4 runs that Kansas City's pitchers allow per home game makes them the top AL staff at home. The Royals are the fifth-best team in the AL at limiting walks during home games, allowing only 2.7 walks per game to their opponents this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Minnesota has a 34-30 record and an overall money line of +1,153. They are 15-16 as the underdog against AL Central opponents, and 18-19 SU. When it comes to issuing walks, the Twins have the fewest in the AL with only 2.4 walks allowed per game.
The Royals lead the season series, 6-4. The Royals have a 12-13 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Milone takes the mound. Guthrie (RHP) will be on the hill against the Twins, who have a 23-27 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
The Twins are an even 19-19 against the division, while the Royals sit at 19-13.
When leading after 7 innings, Kansas City is 19-10, while Minnesota is 12-16.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Royals are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Twins have a 7-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Royals are 3-26. The Twins have a 7-34 record when opponents outhit them.
Kansas City and Minnesota both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. Kansas City sits at 27th with 57 home runs this season and Minnesota ranks 24th with 64.
Ranking 10th, Minnesota is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.33 per game. Kansas City ranks in the top five at second with 9.23.
Ranking 20th, Minnesota is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.694). Kansas City ranks in the top half at 11th with an OPS of .721.
When the Twins allow at least one home run, they are 23-26, well-matched with the Royals who are 18-23 when allowing at least one homer.