Donn Roach (0-1, 10.80 ERA) and Jarred Cosart (1-3, 4.12 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Chicago Cubs (42-36) and the Miami Marlins (35-46) at Wrigley Field. The Marlins won the last game 2-1 and Miami leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jul. 4 and can be seen on FOX.
Roach pitched 3.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs, striking out one and walking one in an 8-1 defeat to the Cardinals. Kris Bryant (.275, 42 Rs, 10 HRs, 43 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run and one stolen base. Cosart went 4.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out three and walking three in a 7-1 defeat to the Dodgers in his last outing. Dee Gordon (.344, 41 Rs, 1 HR, 21 RBIs, 28 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with two stolen bases.
Chicago is a -133 favorite against Miami and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is currently unavailable. The Cubs have an overall money line of +394 and a record as the favorite of 25-19. The Cubs have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.0 runs per game. Chicago leads the whole NL in walks at home, earning an average of 3.5 per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Cubs, who have a team ERA of only 3.39. The Cubs are the second-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.17 so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Cubs, who lead the NL in strikeouts per game with 8.7.
Over in the other dugout, Miami is coming in with an overall money line of -1,178 and a disappointing record of 17-28 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-6 record, and a 4-6 record SU. Offensively, the Marlins have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.7 runs per game by averaging 2.7 during that stretch.
The Marlins lead the season series, 3-1. The Cubs have a 35-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Cosart takes the mound. Roach (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 25-37 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - CHC
In their last game, the Marlins won by a margin of one run. The Cubs are 19-14 in one-run games. The Marlins have a 14-11 record in close games.
The Marlins are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Cubs are 10-4 in such matchups.
The Marlins are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Cubs have a 9-16 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 25-12. The Cubs have a 29-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Chicago and Miami both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. Chicago sits at 23rd with 305 runs this season and Miami ranks 25th with 298.
Ranking 24th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 192 this season. Chicago ranks in the top five at fourth with 264.
The Cubs are 26-15 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Marlins are 24-26 when they hit at least one homer.