David Price (7-2, 2.62 ERA) is on the hill for the Detroit Tigers (40-39) as they square off against R.A. Dickey (3-8, 4.85 ERA) and the Toronto Blue Jays (42-40) in the second of a three-game series at Comerica Park. The Tigers won the last game 8-6 and Detroit leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 1:08 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jul. 4 and can be seen on RSN and FSN-DET.
Price is 15-2 with a 2.47 ERA in his appearances against the Blue Jays, but goes up against a quality Toronto offense which is batting .266 this season. Miguel Cabrera (.350, 43 Rs, 15 HRs, 54 RBIs, 1 SB) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 2 with one RBI. Dickey is 6-2 with a 3.78 ERA when pitching against the Tigers. He is up against a good Detroit offense which is hitting .277 this season. Josh Donaldson (.298, 61 Rs, 19 HRs, 54 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run and two RBIs.
Detroit is a -149 favorite against Toronto and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Tigers have an overall money line of -319 and a record as the favorite of 24-20. The Tigers have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.7 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.3 runs per game. The Tigers lead the AL in hits with an impressive 9.6 per game. Detroit's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.8 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.5.
In games where it is the underdog, Toronto has a 16-21 record and an overall money line of -69. Offensively, they average 5.4 runs per game, which is tops in the AL. The Blue Jays are tough outs for opponents, ranking third in the AL with 9.0 hits per game. Toronto is excellent at not striking out with just 7.2 per game, ranking fifth in the AL.
The Tigers have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Tigers have a 28-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Dickey takes the mound. Price (LHP) will be on the hill against the Blue Jays, who have a very good 11-6 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Over
Toronto recorded at least two errors for the fifth time this season.
When the Blue Jays play into extra innings, they have a 3-2 record. The Tigers are 3-5 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Blue Jays are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded five strikeouts. The Tigers have a record of 16-7 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Tigers are 34-10. The Blue Jays have a 36-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking first in runs, Toronto has earned 447 this season. Detroit ranks eighth with 346 runs.
Ranking 14th, Detroit is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 235 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at third with 271.
The Tigers are 29-16 when they hit at least one home run. The Blue Jays perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 37-20 record.