In the second of a three-game series between the Chicago White Sox (35-42) and the Baltimore Orioles (35-42) at U.S. Cellular Field, Jeff Samardzija (5-4, 4.56 ERA) and Chris Tillman (6-7, 5.67 ERA) get the ball. The White Sox won the last game 1-0 and Chicago leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 2:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jul. 4 and will air on MASN2 and CSN-CHI.
Samardzija has an 8.25 ERA and a 0-1 record in his career against the Orioles, and is up against a strong Baltimore offense that's hitting .258 on the year. Avisail Garcia (.277, 30 Rs, 7 HRs, 29 RBIs, 4 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 3. In his pitching opportunities against the White Sox, Tillman is 3-1 with a 3.18 ERA, 17 strikeouts and 10 walks. Manny Machado (.301, 51 Rs, 16 HRs, 44 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Chicago is a -125 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the White Sox have a 20-15 record and overall money line at -1,043. They are 4-1 as the favorite over their last 10 games. An area where the White Sox are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 8.3 K's per game.
On the other side, the Orioles have a record of 16-20 when they are the underdog and are +415 overall with the money line. The Orioles rank third in the AL in scoring, averaging 4.5 runs per game. The Orioles are known for their power, smashing 97 home runs. Switching gears to Baltimore's pitching staff, they average just 8.1 hits allowed per road game, fifth-best in the AL.
This game will feature Tillman (RHP) on the mound against the White Sox, who have a 29-32 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Orioles will be the right-hander Samardzija. They sport a 32-30 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Over
The Orioles lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the White Sox are 16-14. The Orioles are 11-12 in close games this season.
When leading after 7 innings, Baltimore is 19-12, while Chicago is 14-14.
Having scored one run in their last game, the White Sox are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Orioles have a 10-2 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
It looks like the White Sox have a slight leg up on the Orioles, as the White Sox have won their last three games while the Orioles have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 31-8. The White Sox have a 26-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th, Chicago is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 267 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top five at fifth with 359.
Chicago and Baltimore both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Chicago sits at 29th with 176 this season and Baltimore ranks 23rd with 198.
The White Sox are 21-20 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Orioles are 35-17 when they hit at least one homer.