Alex Wood (5-5, 3.17 ERA) and Kevin Correia (0-2, 3.60 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Atlanta Braves (39-41) and the Philadelphia Phillies (27-55) at Turner Field. The Phillies lost the last game 2-1, continuing a five-game losing streak. Action begins at 7:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jul. 4 and can be seen on FOX.
Wood is 2-2 with a 2.61 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, and 30 strikeouts against the Phillies. Cameron Maybin (.289, 31 Rs, 6 HRs, 37 RBIs, 14 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 3 for 4. Correia is 4-3 with a 3.88 ERA when pitching against the Braves. He takes on a quality Atlanta offense which is hitting .255 this season. Maikel Franco (.299, 26 Rs, 10 HRs, 34 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the Phillies, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
This one isn't expected to be close when Atlanta, a big -184 favorite, takes on Philadelphia. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of seven runs. The Braves have recorded an overall money line of +458 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 10-6. Within its division, Atlanta has a 5-4 record as favorite and a 19-20 record SU. The Braves have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 1.8 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.9 runs per game. Atlanta strikes out the least of any team in the NL, with only 6.8 per game. Atlanta's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.2 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.3. The Braves are the third-best team in the NL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 8.2 hits per game to their opponents this season.
Over in the other dugout, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -1,868 and a disappointing record of 24-48 as the underdog. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 10-22 record against teams in their division, and a 3-7 record SU. Offensively, the Phillies have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.4 runs per game by averaging 5.5 during that stretch. Philadelphia is excellent at not striking out with just 7.0 per game, ranking third in the NL. The Phillies allow 5.0 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 6.5 runs per game during that span.
The Braves lead the season series, 4-3. The Braves have a 33-35 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Correia takes the mound. Wood (LHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have inferior records against left-handed starting pitchers on the road and overall of 2-6 and 5-10, respectively.
Predictions: SU Winner - ATL, O/U - Over
The Braves are 20-20 against other teams in their division, while the Phillies are 11-24 against their rivals.
Atlanta recorded at least two errors for the ninth time this season.
The Braves and the Phillies are both 2-5 in games that go into extra innings.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Phillies are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Braves have an 18-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 8-42. The Braves have a 7-27 record when opponents outhit them.
Atlanta ranks at the bottom of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting 49 this season. Philadelphia ranks near the bottom at 29th with 50.
Ranking 13th, Philadelphia is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.31 per game. Atlanta ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 8.66.
Atlanta and Philadelphia both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Atlanta sits at 23rd with an OPS of .682 and Philadelphia ranks 28th with an OPS of .655.
The Phillies are 12-36 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Braves are 13-27 when they allow at least one homer.