In the second of a three-game series between the Boston Red Sox (37-45) and the Houston Astros (37-45) at Fenway Park, Clay Buchholz (6-6, 3.48 ERA) and Collin McHugh (9-3, 4.51 ERA) take the mound. The Astros won the last game 12-8, extending a five-game winning streak. The game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jul. 4 and will air on ROOT-SW and NESN.
In his most recent outing, Buchholz pitched 8.0 innings, allowing one run and striking out five in a 3-1 victory over the Blue Jays. Hanley Ramirez (.280, 45 Rs, 17 HRs, 41 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs. In his career against the Red Sox, McHugh is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA, 1.83 WHIP, and six strikeouts. Jose Altuve (.303, 40 Rs, 7 HRs, 35 RBIs, 23 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Astros, going 3 for 5 yesterday with two runs and two RBIs.
Boston is a -128 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Red Sox have a 21-28 record and overall money line at -1,347.
Across the field, the Astros have a record of 23-16 when they are the underdog and are +1,064 overall with the money line. They sport the fourth-ranked offense in the AL, averaging 4.5 runs per game. Houston is one of the top road hitting teams in the AL with an average of 8.9 hits per contest. The Astros have racked up 66 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. The Astros are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 3.44 ERA this season. They have a WHIP of 1.17, best in the MLB.
So far this season, the Astros are 1-0 against the Red Sox. The Red Sox will take on a right-hander (McHugh) in this game and have a 28-32 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Astros will be the right-hander Buchholz. They sport a 30-18 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Over
For the ninth time this season, the Astros registered at least two errors in a game.
The Astros are 4-3 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Red Sox are 3-3 in such matchups.
The Astros are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 12 runs. The Red Sox have a 0-6 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Astros are 34-9. The Red Sox have a 30-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 11th in runs, Boston has earned 343 this season. Houston ranks third with 374 runs.
Boston and Houston both rank in the top 10 of the league in walks. Boston sits at seventh with 257 this season and Houston ranks eighth with 256.
The Red Sox are 27-27 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Astros are 38-20 when they hit at least one homer.