Michael Pineda (8-5, 4.08 ERA) and Nathan Karns (4-4, 3.26 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the New York Yankees (43-37) and the Tampa Bay Rays (42-40) at Yankee Stadium. The Rays lost the last game 7-5, continuing a six-game losing streak. Action begins at 1:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jul. 4 and can be seen on SunSports and FS1.
Pineda is 2-1 with a 3.22 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and 32 strikeouts against the Rays. Alex Rodriguez (.284, 44 Rs, 15 HRs, 45 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run. Karns is 1-0 with a 3.07 ERA when pitching against the Yankees. He is up against a good New York offense which is hitting .256 this season.
New York is a -167 favorite against Tampa Bay and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Yankees have an overall money line of -220 and a record as the favorite of 24-17. Within its division, New York has a 9-7 record as favorite and a 17-15 record SU. The Yankees are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 254. New York is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.2 per game. Turning to the pitchers, the Yankees are the second-best team in the AL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.6 walks per game so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Yankees, who rank second in the AL in strikeouts per game with 8.4.
In games where it is the underdog, Tampa Bay has a 21-20 record and an overall money line of +192. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-3 record when playing as the underdog. The Rays are an excellent base stealing team with 60 stolen bases, ranking fifth in the MLB. The Rays allow 3.6 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 4.8 runs per game during that span. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Rays are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.20 for the season.
The Yankees lead the season series, 7-4. The Yankees have a 31-27 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Karns takes the mound. Pineda (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rays, who have a 27-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
The Yankees are 18-15 against their divisional rivals, while the Rays are 20-19 against their division.
When the Yankees play into extra innings, they have a 2-4 record. The Rays are 2-6 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Rays managed to give up nine walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Yankees who are heading in with a 2-0 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Yankees are 7-28. The Rays have a 7-26 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 16th in home runs, Tampa Bay has hit 71 this season. New York ranks second with 106 home runs.
Ranking 13th, Tampa Bay is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.98 per game. New York ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.86.
Ranking 24th, Tampa Bay is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.682). New York ranks in the top five at fourth with an OPS of .753.
When the Rays allow at least one home run, they are 17-30. When the Yankees allow one or more homers, they have a 21-29 record.