Kendall Graveman (5-4, 3.47 ERA) and Felix Hernandez (10-4, 3.05 ERA) take the hill in the third of a four-game series between the Oakland Athletics (37-46) and the Seattle Mariners (37-43) at O.C. Coliseum. The Mariners won the last game 9-5 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 4:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jul. 4 and can be seen on ROOT-NW, CSN-CA and MLB.
Graveman is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA in his appearances against the Mariners, and goes up against a below-average Seattle offense which is batting just .230 this season. Josh Reddick (.290, 37 Rs, 11 HRs, 49 RBIs, 3 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs. Hernandez is 20-7 with a 2.63 ERA against the Athletics in his career. He is up against a good Oakland offense that's batting .259. Nelson Cruz (.305, 40 Rs, 21 HRs, 50 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the Mariners, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
Seattle takes on Oakland as a -132 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Athletics have an overall money line of -1,657 and a record as the underdog of 12-17. Oakland is undefeated as the underdog (1-0) over its last ten and has a record of 6-4 SU. Oakland is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.1 per game. As for the pitchers, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Athletics, who have a team ERA of only 3.42. The Athletics are the fourth-best team in the AL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 8.0 hits per game so far this season.
In games where it is the favorite, Seattle has a 20-27 record and an overall money line of -1,224. They played poorly as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 1-4 record, and a 4-6 record SU. The Mariners allow 3.9 runs per game, but does worse whenever another team from the AL West Division is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 4.4 against division foes.
The Mariners have controlled the season series, 6-2. The Athletics have a 32-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Hernandez takes the mound. Graveman (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mariners, who have a 29-33 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - OAK, O/U - Under
The Mariners are an even 18-18 against the division, while the Athletics sit at 20-23.
When leading after 7 innings, Seattle is 11-14, while Oakland is 16-24.
The Athletics are coming into this game after allowing zero walks during their last outing. The Mariners have a 3-4 record when opponents give up that many walks.
When they are outhit, the Athletics are 5-31. The Mariners have an 11-26 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 17th in home runs, Oakland has hit 69 this season. Seattle ranks ninth with 85 home runs.
Ranking 15th, Seattle is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.65 per game. Oakland ranks in the top five at fourth with 8.94.
Ranking 26th, Seattle is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.669). Oakland ranks in the top half at 14th with an OPS of .719.
The Mariners are 14-35 when they allow at least one home run. The Athletics perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with an 11-31 record.