This game could be low scoring as Zack Greinke (6-2, 1.58 ERA) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (45-36) meet Matt Harvey (7-5, 2.99 ERA) and the New York Mets (41-40) in the second of a three-game series at Dodger Stadium. The Mets won the last game 2-1 and New York leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jul. 4 and will air on FOX and SportsNet LA.
Greinke is 2-1 with a 3.12 ERA against the Mets in his career, and faces a less-than-stellar New York offense that's hitting just .231 on the year. Justin Turner (.314, 30 Rs, 11 HRs, 37 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 3 yesterday. In his career against the Dodgers, Harvey is 0-1 with a 5.25 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, and 10 strikeouts. Lucas Duda (.253, 38 Rs, 10 HRs, 33 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Los Angeles is a -157 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at six runs. When playing as the favorite, the Dodgers have a 39-32 record and overall money line at -647. The Dodgers are a power hitting team with 103 home runs, one of the highest totals in the MLB. Los Angeles's pitching staff can be considered one of the best in the NL. The Dodgers have a team ERA of 3.25, one of the lowest in their league. The Dodgers are third in the league in WHIP at 1.19. An area where the Dodgers are particularly strong at home is striking batters out, where they average an NL-best 9.2 K's per home game.
Moving on to the away team, the Mets come into this game with a weak win percentage of .206 when playing as the underdog (7-27) and an overall money line of -269. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 4-6 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-4 record. During the last 10 games, they averaged 1.7 runs per game, below their 3.5 season average. The last 10 games have really brought the best out of the New York pitchers. They've allowed 2.1 runs per game during that span, which is lower than their season average of 3.7. They have a WHIP of 1.19 on the year, good for fourth in the league.
So far this season, the Mets are 1-0 against the Dodgers. This game will feature Harvey (RHP) on the mound against the Dodgers, who have a 41-27 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Mets will be the right-hander Greinke. They sport a 34-33 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Mets won by a margin of one run. The Dodgers are 11-15 in one-run games. The Mets have a 16-13 record in close games.
The Mets are 4-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Dodgers are 4-3 in such matchups.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Dodgers have a 10-17 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Dodgers are 31-7. The Mets have a 27-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 27th in runs, New York has earned 279 this season. Los Angeles ranks 13th with 341 runs.
Los Angeles ranks at the top of the league when it comes to walks with 291 this season. New York ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 214.
When the Dodgers hit at least one home run, they are 35-23, well-matched with the Mets who are 25-14 when hitting one or more homers.