Jordan Zimmermann (6-5, 3.16 ERA) and Ryan Vogelsong (6-6, 4.19 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Washington Nationals (45-36) and the San Francisco Giants (42-40) at Nationals Park. The Giants lost the last game 9-3, continuing a five-game losing streak. Action begins at 8:08 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jul. 5 and can be seen on ESPN.
Zimmermann is 5-2 with a 2.79 ERA in his appearances against the Giants, but goes up against a good San Francisco offense which is batting .269 this season. Bryce Harper (.344, 57 Rs, 25 HRs, 60 RBIs, 3 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 3 for 4 with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs. Vogelsong is 1-2 with a 6.59 ERA against the Nationals in his career. He takes on a quality Washington offense that's batting .258. Buster Posey (.304, 44 Rs, 14 HRs, 57 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run.
Washington is a -165 favorite against San Francisco and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Nationals have an overall money line of -56 and a record as the favorite of 36-25. Washington is an impressive 7-3 as the favorite over its last 10 games. Washington's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 2.2 runs per game, well under their season average of 3.9. The Nationals are the top team in the NL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.1 walks per game so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, San Francisco has a 22-16 record and an overall money line of -99. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-3 record when playing as the underdog. Offensively, the Giants have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.2 runs per game by averaging 5.3 during that stretch. The Giants are tough outs for opponents, leading the NL with 9.3 hits per game. San Francisco is excellent at not striking out n the road with just 7.3 per game, ranking third in the NL.
The Nationals have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Nationals have a 33-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Vogelsong takes the mound. Zimmermann (RHP) will be on the hill against the Giants, who have a 31-32 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - WSH, O/U - Over
San Francisco has won 50% (13-13) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Washington has won 59% (24-17) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Nationals are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Giants have a 17-19 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Nationals have a slight leg up on the Giants, as the Nationals have won their last two games while the Giants have lost their last five.
When they outhit their opponents, the Giants are 37-8. The Nationals have a 34-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 11th in runs, San Francisco has earned 345 this season. Washington ranks seventh with 355 runs.
Ranking 15th, San Francisco is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 229 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 253.
When the Nationals hit at least one home run, they are 32-15, well-matched with the Giants who are 29-16 when hitting one or more homers.