Justin Verlander (0-1, 5.09 ERA) and Marco Estrada (5-4, 3.58 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Detroit Tigers (41-39) and the Toronto Blue Jays (42-41) at Comerica Park. The Tigers won the last game 8-3 and Detroit leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:08 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jul. 5 and can be seen on RSN, FSN-DET and MLB Net.
Verlander is 3-3 with a 4.29 ERA in his appearances against the Blue Jays, and goes up against a good Toronto offense which is batting .267 this season. Miguel Cabrera (.350, 43 Rs, 15 HRs, 54 RBIs, 1 SB) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 2 with one RBI. Estrada went 2.1 innings, surrendering two runs (two unearned), striking out one and walking four in a 4-3 defeat to the Red Sox in his most recent start. Chris Colabello (.335, 34 Rs, 7 HRs, 31 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Blue Jays, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
Detroit is a slim -115 favorite at home against Toronto. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently eight runs. The Tigers have an overall money line of -219 and a record as the favorite of 25-20. The Tigers lead the AL in hits with an impressive 9.6 per game. Detroit's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.0 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.5.
In games where it is the underdog, Toronto has a 16-22 record and an overall money line of -169. Offensively, they average 5.5 runs per game, which is tops in the AL. The Blue Jays are tough outs for opponents, ranking third in the AL with 9.0 hits per game. Toronto is excellent at not striking out with just 7.2 per game, ranking fifth in the AL.
The Tigers have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Tigers have a 29-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Estrada takes the mound. Verlander (RHP) will be on the hill against the Blue Jays, who have a 31-34 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
Detroit recorded at least two errors for the sixth time this season.
When the Blue Jays play into extra innings, they have a 3-2 record. The Tigers are 3-5 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Blue Jays are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded four strikeouts. The Tigers have a record of 7-3 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 4-27. The Blue Jays have a 6-32 record when opponents outhit them.
Detroit ranks in the bottom half of the league at 17th when it comes to home runs, hitting 70 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at second with 108.
Ranking first in hits, Detroit has earned 9.62 per game this season. Toronto ranks third with 8.98 hits.
Ranking first in on-base plus slugging percentage, Toronto has an OPS of .780 this season. Detroit ranks third with an OPS of .760.
When the Blue Jays allow at least one home run, they are 26-29. When the Tigers allow one or more homers, they have a 17-29 record.