Lance Lynn (5-4, 2.74 ERA) gets the start for the St. Louis Cardinals (52-28) as they meet Ian Kennedy (4-7, 4.86 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (39-44) in the last of a four-game series at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals won the last game 2-1 and San Diego leads the series 2-1. The game starts at 2:15 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jul. 5 and will air on FSN-SD and FSN-MW.
In his last start, Lynn pitched 6.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out six and walking one in a 2-1 loss to the White Sox. Jhonny Peralta (.301, 34 Rs, 11 HRs, 42 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one RBI. In his pitching opportunities against the Cardinals, Kennedy is 2-4 with a 9.00 ERA. He gets a solid St. Louis offense that's batting .260. Justin Upton (.262, 44 Rs, 14 HRs, 46 RBIs, 16 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
St. Louis, a -168 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against San Diego. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at seven runs. The Cardinals perform well as a favorite with a 42-17 record and have an overall money line of +1,826. The Cardinals rank second in the NL in hits at home with 8.9 per game. The Cardinals typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an impressive 3.1 walks per game. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Cardinals lead the NL in ERA with a 2.64 team average. The Cardinals are third in the NL in hits allowed with just 8.2 per game. An area where the Cardinals are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 8.2 K's per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Padres come into this game with a win percentage of .419 when playing as the underdog (18-25) and an overall money line of -353.
The Padres are 2-1 against the Cardinals this season. This game will feature Kennedy (RHP) on the mound against the Cardinals, who have a 26-6 home and 44-17 overall record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Padres will be the right-hander Lynn. They sport a 29-35 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Padres lost by a margin of one run. The Cardinals are 17-13 in one-run games. The Padres have a 10-12 record in close games.
The Padres are 6-3 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 6-5 in such matchups.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Padres are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Cardinals have a 26-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Padres are 28-8. The Cardinals have a 35-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 20th, St. Louis is in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 317 this season. San Diego ranks in the top half at 14th with 335.
Ranking 21st, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 210 this season. St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 246.
When the Cardinals hit at least one home run, they are 31-11, well-matched with the Padres who are 26-15 when hitting one or more homers.