Gerrit Cole (11-3, 2.20 ERA) and Danny Salazar (7-3, 3.80 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Pittsburgh Pirates (46-34) and the Cleveland Indians (38-42) at PNC Park. The Pirates won the last game 1-0 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jul. 5 and can be seen on STO and ROOT-PIT.

Cole pitched 6.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs and striking out six in a 5-4 defeat to the Tigers. Andrew McCutchen (.297, 43 Rs, 10 HRs, 49 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. Salazar went 7.2 innings, surrendering one, striking out two and walking two in a 6-2 win over the Rays in his most recent start.

Pittsburgh is a -138 favorite against Cleveland and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at six runs. The Pirates have recorded an overall money line of +399 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 38-20. In interleague play, they have had a solid season, earning 7-5 and 8-5 records as the favorite and SU respectively. Pittsburgh is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 61 bases. Opposing batters know they're in for a battle when they play Pittsburgh. The Pirates are one of the top teams when it comes to pitching, allowing just 3.4 runs per game.

In games where it is the underdog, Cleveland has a 13-14 record and an overall money line of -1,199. Cleveland has put in a great performance against teams in the NL, coming in with a nice record SU ({}) and as the underdog (2-1). Offensively, the Indians have really sputtered in interleague games. They have decreased their season average of 4.1 runs per game by averaging 3.5 in those contests. The Indians have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 9.3 strikeouts per game.

The Pirates have a 36-28 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Salazar takes the mound. Cole (RHP) will be on the hill against the Indians, who have a 26-23 record against right-handed starting pitchers.

Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over


The Indians lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Pirates are 16-13. The Indians are 9-9 in close games this season.

Pittsburgh has won 44% (14-18) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Cleveland has won 52% (13-12) of its games when taking a late lead.

Having scored one run in their last game, the Pirates are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Indians have a 13-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.

When they are outhit, the Indians are 6-31. The Pirates have an 8-25 record when opponents outhit them.

Pittsburgh and Cleveland both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. Pittsburgh sits at 25th with 62 home runs this season and Cleveland ranks 21st with 68.

Ranking eighth, Cleveland is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.50 per game. Pittsburgh ranks in the top five at fourth with 9.09.

Pittsburgh and Cleveland both rank in the bottom half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Pittsburgh sits at 18th with an OPS of .699 and Cleveland ranks 17th with an OPS of .711.

The Indians are 24-33 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Pirates are 15-24 when they allow at least one homer.