In the last of a four-game series between the Kansas City Royals (45-33) and the Minnesota Twins (45-33) at Kauffman Stadium, Danny Duffy (2-4, 5.44 ERA) and Ervin Santana (0-0, 0.00 ERA) take the mound. The Twins won the last game 5-3 and Minnesota leads the series 2-1. The game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Jul. 5 and will air on FSN-N and FSN-KC.
Duffy is 4-1 with a 2.37 ERA and 1.20 WHIP against the Twins in his career. Lorenzo Cain (.309, 47 Rs, 6 HRs, 36 RBIs, 16 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 3 with two RBIs. In his pitching opportunities against the Royals, Santana is 5-6 with a 5.00 ERA. He gets a strong Kansas City offense that's batting .269. Brian Dozier (.259, 62 Rs, 16 HRs, 40 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run.
Kansas City is a -138 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Royals perform well as a favorite with a 25-16 record and have an overall money line of +1,156. They have impressive records of 12-7 as the favorite and 20-13 SU within their division. Kansas City has averaged 3.0 runs per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 4.2. The Royals rank second in the AL in hits with 9.2 per game. They typically aren't overmatched by pitchers, leading the AL with an average of only 5.9 strikeouts per game. Turning to the pitching and defensive side, teams routinely struggle to score runs against the Royals, who allow an AL-low 3.3 runs per home game. The Royals are fifth in the AL in hits allowed at home with just 8.0 per game.
On the other side, the Twins have a record of 35-31 when they are the underdog and are +1,196 overall with the money line. Against divisional opponents, they are 19-20 SU and 16-17 as the underdog. They also allow just 2.4 walks per game, good for tops in the AL.
The Royals have gotten the best of the Twins in head-to-head matchups this season, going 7-5. This game will feature Santana (RHP) on the mound against the Royals, who have a 16-9 home and 32-19 overall record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Twins will be the left-hander Duffy. Southpaw starters haven't been a big issue for them as they sport an 18-10 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
The Twins are an even 20-20 against the division, while the Royals sit at 20-14.
When the Royals play into extra innings, they have a 4-1 record. The Twins are 3-3 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Twins managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Royals who are heading in with an 11-7 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Royals are 39-5. The Twins have a 30-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 16th in runs, Kansas City has earned 328 this season. Minnesota ranks 14th with 338 runs.
Ranking 30th, Kansas City is at the bottom of the league in walks, notching 168 this season. Minnesota ranks near the bottom at 25th with 192.
The Royals are 29-14 when they hit at least one home run. The Twins perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 31-15 record.