In the first of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (36-48) and the Atlanta Braves (36-48) at Miller Park, Kyle Lohse (5-9, 6.24 ERA) and Matt Wisler (2-1, 2.60 ERA) take the mound. The Brewers enter this series on an eight-game winning streak. The game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Jul. 6 and will air on SPSO and FSN-WI.
Lohse is 5-2 with a 3.91 ERA and 1.26 WHIP against the Braves in his career. Adam Lind (.298, 35 Rs, 14 HRs, 51 RBIs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one home run, and three RBIs. The Braves were victorious over the Nationals 4-1 the last time Wisler pitched. He went 5.1 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out six and walking five. Cameron Maybin (.294, 34 Rs, 7 HRs, 39 RBIs, 15 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Milwaukee, a -138 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Atlanta. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at eight runs. The Brewers are 14-17 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -1,174. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (6-1). Over their past 10 games, Milwaukee's offense has been playing lights out, averaging 6.4 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.0.
Switching gears, the Braves come into this game with a win percentage of .444 when playing as the underdog (28-35) and an overall money line of +658. The Braves will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In their 10 most recent games, Atlanta's run production has dropped to 2.7 runs per game, compared to 4.0 for the duration of the season. Atlanta is one of the top road hitting teams in the NL with an average of 8.9 hits per contest. The Braves average just 6.8 strikeouts per game, good for least in the NL.
The Braves are 3-1 against the Brewers this season. The Brewers will take on a right-hander (Wisler) in this game and have a 25-40 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Lohse will take the mound against the Braves, who have a 34-35 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIL, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Milwaukee is 17-19, while Atlanta is 19-26.
The Brewers are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded five strikeouts. The Braves have a record of 12-12 when opponents' pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 6-39. The Braves have an 8-28 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 30th in home runs, Atlanta has hit 50 this season. Milwaukee ranks 13th with 75 home runs.
Milwaukee and Atlanta both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Milwaukee sits at 10th with 8.48 hits per game and Atlanta ranks seventh with 8.65.
Ranking 25th, Atlanta is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.681). Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half at 19th with an OPS of .696.
The Braves are 14-27 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Brewers are 22-32 when they allow at least one homer.